{
 "generated": "2026-11-01",
 "long_run": {
  "2002": 5491,
  "2003": 5988,
  "2004": 5589,
  "2005": 5567,
  "2006": 6016,
  "2007": 6270,
  "2008": 6135,
  "2009": 5739,
  "2010": 5847,
  "2011": 5813,
  "2012": 5671,
  "2013": 5394,
  "2014": 4939,
  "2015": 5294,
  "2016": 5402,
  "2017": 4688,
  "2018": 4903,
  "2019": 5292,
  "2020": 4403,
  "2021": 4716,
  "2022": 5107,
  "2023": 4578
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 "long_first_year": 2002,
 "long_years": 22,
 "peak_year": 2007,
 "peak_count": 6270,
 "low_year": 2020,
 "low_count": 4403,
 "low_count_rank_2023": 2,
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  "diff": -1692,
  "abs_diff": 1692,
  "pct": -27.0,
  "abs_pct": 27.0,
  "noise_test": -16.25,
  "beyond_noise": true
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 "per_day_2023": 12.5,
 "per_day_peak": 17.2,
 "per_day_2010": 16.0,
 "pop_growth_since_2010": 4209,
 "count_drop_since_2010": 1269,
 "yoy_pct_rounded": 10,
 "drug_share_of_drop": 59.0,
 "without_drug": {
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  "to": 4188,
  "diff": -217,
  "abs_diff": 217,
  "pct": -4.9,
  "abs_pct": 4.9,
  "noise_test": -2.34,
  "beyond_noise": true
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 "narrow_one_in": 15,
 "narrow_share": 6.8,
 "narrow_10yr_low": 252,
 "narrow_10yr_high": 354,
 "narrow_10yr_avg": 312,
 "ten_year_start": 2014,
 "narrow_per_week": 6.0,
 "category_lows": {
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   "low_year": 2014,
   "low": 1107,
   "high": 1484,
   "is_low_2023": false
  },
  "Serious Property": {
   "low_year": 2021,
   "low": 1544,
   "high": 2310,
   "is_low_2023": false
  },
  "Drug": {
   "low_year": 2023,
   "low": 390,
   "high": 791,
   "is_low_2023": true
  },
  "Other Property/Social": {
   "low_year": 2020,
   "low": 984,
   "high": 1778,
   "is_low_2023": false
  }
 },
 "flagged_since_2019": [
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  "Fraud",
  "Motor vehicle theft",
  "Robbery",
  "Sex offenses, forcible"
 ],
 "cleared_one_in": 1.8,
 "dover_pop_share_of_kent": 21.1,
 "years_trend": 14,
 "constants": {
  "explanation": "Numbers used in the wording itself, not findings.",
  "rate_base": "1,000",
  "confidence": "95",
  "ten": "10",
  "noise_rule": "2",
  "years": "2002 2010 2013 2015 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026",
  "group_a": "24",
  "small_count": "20",
  "chart_axis_ticks": "0 100 200 300 400 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000",
  "one": "1",
  "three": "3",
  "days_2023": "365",
  "dpd_words": "2 6 7"
 },
 "dataset_last_updated_unix": 1741029003,
 "dataset_last_updated": "March 3, 2025",
 "category_moved_codes": [],
 "population": {
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  "2011": 36303,
  "2012": 36728,
  "2013": 36736,
  "2014": 36975,
  "2015": 36999,
  "2016": 37271,
  "2017": 37463,
  "2018": 38089,
  "2019": 38334,
  "2020": 39417,
  "2021": 39746,
  "2022": 39911,
  "2023": 40099,
  "2024": 40311,
  "2025": 40592
 },
 "pop_2023": 40099,
 "pop_break": {
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  "new_2020": 39417,
  "diff": 1218
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 "annual": [
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   "year": 2010,
   "offenses": 5847,
   "population": 35890,
   "rate": 162.9,
   "range": [
    158.7,
    167.1
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1239,
    "rate": 34.5
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2193,
    "rate": 61.1
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 637,
    "rate": 17.7
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1778,
    "rate": 49.5
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2011,
   "offenses": 5813,
   "population": 36303,
   "rate": 160.1,
   "range": [
    156.0,
    164.2
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1286,
    "rate": 35.4
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2310,
    "rate": 63.6
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 601,
    "rate": 16.6
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1616,
    "rate": 44.5
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2012,
   "offenses": 5671,
   "population": 36728,
   "rate": 154.4,
   "range": [
    150.4,
    158.4
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1288,
    "rate": 35.1
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2239,
    "rate": 61.0
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 586,
    "rate": 16.0
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1558,
    "rate": 42.4
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2013,
   "offenses": 5394,
   "population": 36736,
   "rate": 146.8,
   "range": [
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    150.7
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1148,
    "rate": 31.2
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2146,
    "rate": 58.4
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 777,
    "rate": 21.2
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1323,
    "rate": 36.0
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2014,
   "offenses": 4939,
   "population": 36975,
   "rate": 133.6,
   "range": [
    129.9,
    137.3
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1107,
    "rate": 29.9
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1905,
    "rate": 51.5
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 684,
    "rate": 18.5
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1243,
    "rate": 33.6
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2015,
   "offenses": 5294,
   "population": 36999,
   "rate": 143.1,
   "range": [
    139.2,
    146.9
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1227,
    "rate": 33.2
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2031,
    "rate": 54.9
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 724,
    "rate": 19.6
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1312,
    "rate": 35.5
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2016,
   "offenses": 5402,
   "population": 37271,
   "rate": 144.9,
   "range": [
    141.1,
    148.8
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1314,
    "rate": 35.3
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1922,
    "rate": 51.6
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 791,
    "rate": 21.2
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1375,
    "rate": 36.9
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2017,
   "offenses": 4688,
   "population": 37463,
   "rate": 125.1,
   "range": [
    121.6,
    128.7
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1109,
    "rate": 29.6
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1704,
    "rate": 45.5
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 736,
    "rate": 19.6
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1139,
    "rate": 30.4
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2018,
   "offenses": 4903,
   "population": 38089,
   "rate": 128.7,
   "range": [
    125.1,
    132.3
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1214,
    "rate": 31.9
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1839,
    "rate": 48.3
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 719,
    "rate": 18.9
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1131,
    "rate": 29.7
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2019,
   "offenses": 5292,
   "population": 38334,
   "rate": 138.0,
   "range": [
    134.3,
    141.8
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1412,
    "rate": 36.8
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 2116,
    "rate": 55.2
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 606,
    "rate": 15.8
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 1158,
    "rate": 30.2
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2020,
   "offenses": 4403,
   "population": 39417,
   "rate": 111.7,
   "range": [
    108.4,
    115.0
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1261,
    "rate": 32.0
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1603,
    "rate": 40.7
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 555,
    "rate": 14.1
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
    "count": 984,
    "rate": 25.0
   }
  },
  {
   "year": 2021,
   "offenses": 4716,
   "population": 39746,
   "rate": 118.7,
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    122.0
   ],
   "Violent": {
    "count": 1428,
    "rate": 35.9
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1544,
    "rate": 38.8
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 735,
    "rate": 18.5
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
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    "rate": 25.4
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  },
  {
   "year": 2022,
   "offenses": 5107,
   "population": 39911,
   "rate": 128.0,
   "range": [
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    131.5
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    "count": 1484,
    "rate": 37.2
   },
   "Serious Property": {
    "count": 1800,
    "rate": 45.1
   },
   "Drug": {
    "count": 702,
    "rate": 17.6
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
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    "rate": 28.1
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  },
  {
   "year": 2023,
   "offenses": 4578,
   "population": 40099,
   "rate": 114.2,
   "range": [
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    117.5
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    "rate": 34.1
   },
   "Serious Property": {
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    "rate": 45.8
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   "Drug": {
    "count": 390,
    "rate": 9.7
   },
   "Other Property/Social": {
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    "rate": 24.6
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  }
 ],
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  "diff": -529,
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  "noise_test": -5.38,
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 "rate_2022": 128.0,
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 "range_2023": [
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 "offenses_2023": 4578,
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  "to": 4578,
  "diff": -306,
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  "pct": -6.3,
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  "noise_test": -3.15,
  "beyond_noise": true
 },
 "rate_2020_on_old_population": 115.3,
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  "count_change_pct": -21.7,
  "abs_count_change_pct": 21.7,
  "abs_rate_change_pct": 29.9,
  "rate_2010": 162.9,
  "rate_change_pct": -29.9
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 "highest_rate_year": 2010,
 "highest_rate": 162.9,
 "lowest_rate_year": 2020,
 "lowest_rate": 111.7,
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   "label": "Violent",
   "count": 1366,
   "cleared": 1092,
   "pct_cleared": 79.9,
   "yoy": {
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    "diff": -118,
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    "beyond_noise": true
   },
   "share": 29.8
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  "Serious Property": {
   "label": "Serious property",
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   "yoy": {
    "from": 1800,
    "to": 1837,
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   "share": 40.1
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  "Drug": {
   "label": "Drug",
   "count": 390,
   "cleared": 379,
   "pct_cleared": 97.2,
   "yoy": {
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    "diff": -312,
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    "beyond_noise": true
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   "share": 8.5
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  "Other Property/Social": {
   "label": "Other property and social",
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   "cleared": 447,
   "pct_cleared": 45.4,
   "yoy": {
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    "to": 985,
    "diff": -136,
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    "pct": -12.1,
    "abs_pct": 12.1,
    "noise_test": -2.96,
    "beyond_noise": true
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   "share": 21.5
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 "offense_detail": [
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   "name": "Simple assault and harassment",
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    "2020": 742,
    "2021": 864,
    "2022": 931,
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  },
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   "name": "Shoplifting",
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    "2021": 609,
    "2022": 826,
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    "noise_test": 2.04,
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   "avg_2019_2022": 772.8,
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    "beyond_noise": false
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  },
  {
   "name": "Vandalism and property damage",
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    "2021": 645,
    "2022": 644,
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    "noise_test": -1.4,
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  },
  {
   "name": "Other theft (not shoplifting)",
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    "2020": 772,
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    "2022": 768,
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  },
  {
   "name": "Drug and drug equipment",
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    "2022": 702,
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  },
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    "2020": 285,
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    "2022": 269,
    "2023": 267
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   "small": false,
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  },
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   "name": "Motor vehicle theft",
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    "2020": 80,
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    "2022": 172,
    "2023": 152
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   "rate2023": 3.8,
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   "pct_cleared2023": 17.8,
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    "diff": -20,
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   "avg_2019_2022": 104.8,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
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    "diff": 66,
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  },
  {
   "name": "Intimidation",
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    "2022": 176,
    "2023": 151
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    "diff": -25,
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   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
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    "diff": 30,
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    "pct": 24.8,
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    "noise_test": 1.82,
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  },
  {
   "name": "Weapon law violations",
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    "2020": 142,
    "2021": 183,
    "2022": 237,
    "2023": 151
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   "c2023": 151,
   "rate2023": 3.8,
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   "pct_cleared2023": 90.1,
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   "avg_2019_2022": 172.8,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 129,
    "to": 151,
    "diff": 22,
    "abs_diff": 22,
    "pct": 17.1,
    "abs_pct": 17.1,
    "noise_test": 1.31,
    "beyond_noise": false
   }
  },
  {
   "name": "Fraud",
   "by_year": {
    "2019": 259,
    "2020": 139,
    "2021": 113,
    "2022": 148,
    "2023": 137
   },
   "c2023": 137,
   "rate2023": 3.4,
   "cleared2023": 58,
   "pct_cleared2023": 42.3,
   "yoy": {
    "from": 148,
    "to": 137,
    "diff": -11,
    "abs_diff": 11,
    "pct": -7.4,
    "abs_pct": 7.4,
    "noise_test": -0.65,
    "beyond_noise": false
   },
   "avg_2019_2022": 164.8,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 259,
    "to": 137,
    "diff": -122,
    "abs_diff": 122,
    "pct": -47.1,
    "abs_pct": 47.1,
    "noise_test": -6.13,
    "beyond_noise": true
   }
  },
  {
   "name": "Sex offenses, forcible",
   "by_year": {
    "2019": 42,
    "2020": 38,
    "2021": 57,
    "2022": 64,
    "2023": 80
   },
   "c2023": 80,
   "rate2023": 2.0,
   "cleared2023": 49,
   "pct_cleared2023": 61.3,
   "yoy": {
    "from": 64,
    "to": 80,
    "diff": 16,
    "abs_diff": 16,
    "pct": 25.0,
    "abs_pct": 25.0,
    "noise_test": 1.33,
    "beyond_noise": false
   },
   "avg_2019_2022": 50.2,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 42,
    "to": 80,
    "diff": 38,
    "abs_diff": 38,
    "pct": 90.5,
    "abs_pct": 90.5,
    "noise_test": 3.44,
    "beyond_noise": true
   }
  },
  {
   "name": "Burglary",
   "by_year": {
    "2019": 88,
    "2020": 63,
    "2021": 45,
    "2022": 30,
    "2023": 49
   },
   "c2023": 49,
   "rate2023": 1.2,
   "cleared2023": 35,
   "pct_cleared2023": 71.4,
   "yoy": {
    "from": 30,
    "to": 49,
    "diff": 19,
    "abs_diff": 19,
    "pct": 63.3,
    "abs_pct": 63.3,
    "noise_test": 2.14,
    "beyond_noise": true
   },
   "avg_2019_2022": 56.5,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 88,
    "to": 49,
    "diff": -39,
    "abs_diff": 39,
    "pct": -44.3,
    "abs_pct": 44.3,
    "noise_test": -3.33,
    "beyond_noise": true
   }
  },
  {
   "name": "Robbery",
   "by_year": {
    "2019": 51,
    "2020": 27,
    "2021": 24,
    "2022": 24,
    "2023": 23
   },
   "c2023": 23,
   "rate2023": 0.6,
   "cleared2023": 19,
   "pct_cleared2023": 82.6,
   "yoy": {
    "from": 24,
    "to": 23,
    "diff": -1,
    "abs_diff": 1,
    "pct": -4.2,
    "abs_pct": 4.2,
    "noise_test": -0.15,
    "beyond_noise": false
   },
   "avg_2019_2022": 31.5,
   "small": false,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 51,
    "to": 23,
    "diff": -28,
    "abs_diff": 28,
    "pct": -54.9,
    "abs_pct": 54.9,
    "noise_test": -3.25,
    "beyond_noise": true
   }
  },
  {
   "name": "Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter",
   "by_year": {
    "2019": 4,
    "2020": 9,
    "2021": 4,
    "2022": 3,
    "2023": 2
   },
   "c2023": 2,
   "rate2023": 0.0,
   "cleared2023": 2,
   "pct_cleared2023": 100.0,
   "yoy": {
    "from": 3,
    "to": 2,
    "diff": -1,
    "abs_diff": 1,
    "pct": -33.3,
    "abs_pct": 33.3,
    "noise_test": -0.45,
    "beyond_noise": false
   },
   "avg_2019_2022": 5.0,
   "small": true,
   "since_2019": {
    "from": 4,
    "to": 2,
    "diff": -2,
    "abs_diff": 2,
    "pct": -50.0,
    "abs_pct": 50.0,
    "noise_test": -0.82,
    "beyond_noise": false
   }
  }
 ],
 "top_two_share": 38.0,
 "narrow_violent": {
  "by_year": {
   "2010": 247,
   "2011": 334,
   "2012": 313,
   "2013": 282,
   "2014": 252,
   "2015": 305,
   "2016": 319,
   "2017": 265,
   "2018": 317,
   "2019": 338,
   "2020": 342,
   "2021": 354,
   "2022": 320,
   "2023": 312
  },
  "c2023": 312,
  "rate2023": 7.8,
  "yoy": {
   "from": 320,
   "to": 312,
   "diff": -8,
   "abs_diff": 8,
   "pct": -2.5,
   "abs_pct": 2.5,
   "noise_test": -0.32,
   "beyond_noise": false
  }
 },
 "cleared_2023": 2491,
 "pct_cleared_2023": 54.4,
 "adult_arrests_2023": 1332,
 "juvenile_arrests_2023": 204,
 "kent": {
  "offenses_2023": 15010,
  "pop_2023": 190241,
  "rate_2023": 78.9,
  "state_report_by_year": {
   "2021": 14868,
   "2022": 15220,
   "2023": 15010,
   "2024": 15478,
   "2025": 15394
  },
  "state_report_rates": {
   "2021": "80.96",
   "2022": "82.17",
   "2023": "79.39",
   "2024": "81.27",
   "2025": "80.26"
  },
  "change_2023_2025": {
   "from": 15010,
   "to": 15394,
   "diff": 384,
   "abs_diff": 384,
   "pct": 2.6,
   "abs_pct": 2.6,
   "noise_test": 2.2,
   "beyond_noise": true
  },
  "dover_share_2023": 30.5
 },
 "dover_police": {
  "note": "Typed by hand from the Dover Police annual reports. Pages are PDF pages. compute.py checks every quote against the saved text of that page.",
  "reports": {
   "2024": {
    "url": "https://doverpolice.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/2024-Dover-PD-Annual-Report-Final.pdf",
    "text": "dover_pd_annual_report_2024.txt"
   },
   "2025": {
    "url": "https://doverpolice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/2025-Annual-Report-April-6-2026-FINAL.pdf",
    "text": "dover_pd_annual_report_2025.txt"
   }
  },
  "shootings_page_2025": 17,
  "shootings_page_2024": 18,
  "shootings": {
   "shots_fired": {
    "label": "Shots fired events",
    "2022": 60,
    "2023": 55,
    "2024": 58,
    "2025": 61,
    "quote": "Total Shots Fired Events 60 55 58 61"
   },
   "reports": {
    "label": "Crime reports",
    "2022": 40,
    "2023": 46,
    "2024": 46,
    "2025": 47,
    "quote": "Total Crime Reports 40 46 46 47"
   },
   "injured": {
    "label": "Injured persons",
    "2022": 22,
    "2023": 12,
    "2024": 19,
    "2025": 17,
    "quote": "Total Injured Persons 22 12 19 17"
   },
   "property": {
    "label": "Property damage",
    "2022": 18,
    "2023": 32,
    "2024": 27,
    "2025": 27,
    "quote": "Total Property Damage 18 32 27 27"
   },
   "clearance": {
    "label": "Percent cleared",
    "2022": 68,
    "2023": 63,
    "2024": 54,
    "2025": 64,
    "quote": "Clearance Rate 68% 63% 54% 64%"
   }
  },
  "checks": [
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 18,
    "quote": "Total confirmed shots fired 60 55 58"
   },
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 18,
    "quote": "Homicide 3 67% 2 100% 6/7 100%"
   },
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 18,
    "quote": "Burglary 25 84% 55 75% 60 73%"
   },
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 18,
    "quote": "Robbery 21 81% 26 85% 47 81%"
   },
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 18,
    "quote": "Rape 80 86% 79 84% 41 78%"
   },
   {
    "report": "2024",
    "page": 19,
    "quote": "successfully investigated seven homicides"
   },
   {
    "report": "2025",
    "page": 17,
    "quote": "including 3 criminal or negligent homicides"
   },
   {
    "report": "2025",
    "page": 17,
    "quote": "23 robberies with an 83% clearance rate and 60 burglaries with a 93% clearance rate"
   }
  ],
  "major": [
   {
    "name": "Homicides",
    "y2024": "6/7 in the table, 7 in the text",
    "c2024": "100%",
    "y2025": "3 among shootings, in the text only. Total not given",
    "c2025": "Not given"
   },
   {
    "name": "Robberies",
    "y2024": 47,
    "c2024": "81%",
    "y2025": "23, in the text only",
    "c2025": "83%"
   },
   {
    "name": "Burglaries",
    "y2024": 60,
    "c2024": "73%",
    "y2025": "60, in the text only",
    "c2025": "93%"
   },
   {
    "name": "Rapes",
    "y2024": 41,
    "c2024": "78%",
    "y2025": "Not given",
    "c2025": "Not given"
   }
  ],
  "crime_map": "https://doverpolice.org/crimemap/",
  "annual_reports": "https://doverpolice.org/annualreports/",
  "split_sums": {
   "2022": 40,
   "2023": 44,
   "2024": 46,
   "2025": 44
  },
  "split_mismatch": [
   "2023",
   "2025"
  ]
 }
}