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Anexo

Committee Minutes. 10 de noviembre de 2008.

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ATTACHMENT #1 LF&A Committee Meeting of 11/10/2008 Legislative, Finance and Administration Committee Power Supply Hedges – Letter of Credit LF&A Committee Meeting of 11/10/2008 ATTACHMENT #1 November 10, 2008

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Forward Contracts: A Future Obligation Timeline Six Months Today In the Future Product Delivered Price Paid $80 / Barrel Two parties execute a legally binding The parties satisfy their obligations contract by • The selling party will sell an agreed upon • The selling party delivers the product on an agreed upon date and at agreed upon product. an agreed upon price. • The buying party pays the • The buying party pays at the future date previously agreed to price and and takes delivery of the product. takes delivery. -2- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Why Use Forward Contracts 1. Provides price certainty Price Difference between agreed to price and actual market iprice at time of delivery. Time Contracted Receive Product Agreed to & Pay at Contract Price Price 2. Allows the City to buy its power supply at a set price for future delivery to minimize volatility in customer rates. -3- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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How to Value Forward Obligations • When a party enters into a forward contract to buy a product the value of that obligation changes over time based on the market value of the product. Contract +3 +6 Executed Months Months Current Date 12/1/2008 3/1/2009 6/1/2009 Delivery Date 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 Product 1 Barrel 1 Barrel 1 Barrel Contracted Agreed to Price $80 $80 $80 Current Forward Market Price $80 $70 $90 Value of Forward Contract $0 -$10 +$10 -4- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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When Prices Change Forward Contracts Result in a Loan Being Granted • Buyer agrees to buy 1 Barrel of Oil on 6/1/2009 for $80. • On 3/1/2009 the iprice of 1 Barrel of oil for d li elivery on 6/1/2009 is $50. • Seller is happy to be selling at a price in excess of current market, but… • …if buyer fails to buy, seller will realize a $30 loss. • Therefore, the seller may require buyer to pay the $30 to ensure there can be no loss. • But if seller believes buyer will fulfill the future obligation then he will not require an upfront payment. -5- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Buyers and Sellers in Forward Transactions Set Thresholds for Credit • Assume Buyers and Sellers each agree to provide the other a $100 credit threshold. As long as the value of the forward contract(s) is less than $100 both parties are comfortable with their exposure • If the value of the forward contract exceeds $100 then the parties have agreed that collateral must be provided to ensure the party fulfills their obligation -6- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Example of How Credit Thresholds Manage Exposure: $100 Credit Threshold Contract +2 +4 +6 +9 Executed Months Months Months Months Current Date 12/1/2008 2/1/2009 4/1/2009 6/1/2009 9/1/2009 Delivery Date 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 9/1/2009 Product 10 Barrels 10 Barrels 10 Barrels 10 Barrels 10 Barrels Forward Agreed to Price $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 Market Price $80 $78 $74 $68 N/A Delivery Price N/A N/A N/A N/A $80 Value of Forward Contract $0 ($20) ($60) ($120) $0 Credit Threshold $100 $100 $100 $100 $100 Required Collateral $0 $0 $0 $20 $0 -7- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Example of How Credit Thresholds Manage Exposure: $100 Credit Threshold, An Alternative View $ per Barrel 12/2008 02/2009 04/2009 06/2009 $80 Date $70 Post collateral when Price < $70 Barrel e.g., 10 Barrels X ($70 – $80) = $100 threshold -8- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Example of How Credit Thresholds Manage Exposure: $100 Credit Threshold, An Alternative View Counter-Party Price Credit Threshold 12/2008 02/2009 04/2009 06/2009 Executed Price Date Dover Credit Threshold -9- Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Counterparty Thresholds • Six Counterparties as of 9/30/08 • Credit Thresholds vary depending on credit ti rating and finances of the City and the Counterparty; • Current thresholds ¾ Two Counterparties at $10 million; ¾ Three Counterparties at $15 million; ¾ One Counterparty at $30 million; - 10 - Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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Forward Contracts - Recap • Forward Contracts are executed to lock in the price of future months’ power supply currently in increments of 5, 10, 15 & 25 megawatts • Creates a tiered effect in which one months supply will be made up of several incremental purchases • Current incremental purchases go out to June 30, 2013 • The requirement to post collateral will go away when the incremental purchases are settled (delivery) - 11 - Proprietary & Confidential The Power of Integration

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