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Paj 1
EXHIBIT #1
Council Workshop of 12/1/2008
City of Dover
City Council Meeting
2030 Energy Plan Committee
EXHIBIT #1
Status Report
December 1, 2008
Council Workshop of 12/1/2008
Paj 2
Agenda
• How Dover provides electric service
– Dover generates, distributes and provides retail services
– A member of an 11 state wholesale market
– Dover participates in a broad and diverse set of markets: including
electricity, fuel, and environmental compliance
• Securing Dover’s energy future
– Objectives
– Options reviewed
– Next steps
• Managing today’s energy challenges
– Energy conservation
– Greening the environment
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The Power of Integration
Paj 3
Dover …
Electric Service Provider
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Paj 4
Delivering Electrical Service Relies on Numerous Functions
Dover Electric Department
• Develops strategy and capital budgets
• Manages day-to-day operations for transmission, distribution
and retail
T&D O&M
Retail customer relationship management, billing, A/R
management, etc.
Develop rates
Long range resource planning
Pace NAES
• Asset Management • O&M
• Energy Management • Training
• Risk Management • Operating Programs
• Strategic Advisory • Preventative Maintenance
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The Power of Integration
Paj 5
Dover Receives Electricity From Numerous Sources
Power Flows to Dover from Plants
as far away as PA & OH
X Dover
Source: PJM
98% of Dover’s electricity is sourced from plants outside of Dover’s
electrical grid.
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The Power of Integration
Paj 6
Power Generation in PJM Widely Disbursed
PJM has over 1,000 generating sources,
with diverse fuel types, most of which
are located outside of Delaware.
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Paj 7
Dover Manages Markets that are Diverse & Individually Complex
Forward Purchase of a pre-defined quantity of electricity delivered
Electric to a specific location at a pre-defined price. Dover has
contracts procured Power through 2013.
Spot ISO Daily purchases of the projected wholesale electricity needs
Electricity in the Day Ahead (DA) market and then the balancing of the
(DA & RT) wholesale load in the Real Time (RT) market.
Natural Gas Purchase commodity in spot OTC market on Transco &
Commodity & Columbia pipelines; purchase of interruptible transport
Transport services; and balancing of actual vs. projected usage.
Fuel Oil Purchase of distillate fuel oil for inventory to be used as
Markets back up fuel; and manage oil deliveries and quality control.
SO2 and NOx Sale of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxide (NOx)
Compliance allowances in the Over-The-Counter (OTC) markets and
Allowances transfers through the EPA Allowance Tracking System.
RGGI Carbon Purchase in auction or OTC and sales in OTC; Authorized
Compliance Account Representative transfers carbon allowances
Allowances through the RGGI Allowance Tracking System
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Paj 8
Dover 2030 Energy Committee has a Focused Objective & a Broad Based
Membership
Objective:
Identify and pursue options for long-term reliable, cost competitive and
environmentally prudent electricity for the citizens of Dover.
Membership:
The City of Dover Outside Representation
Council Member and Committee Frederick James, Pace
Chair Eugene B. Ruane
Francis Hodsoll, Pace
Council Member Beverly C.
Keith Mills, Pace
Williams
Vincent Scire, NAES Corporation
Mayor Carleton E. Carey, Sr.
Anthony DePrima
Ronald Lunt
Donna Mitchell
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The Power of Integration
Paj 9
The Committee has Achieved Substantial Progress Toward its Objective
Conducted
market
Formed the 2030
assessment; Developed RFQ &
Energy Plan
evaluated RFP Process
Committee
Dover’s energy &
capacity needs
Conducting RFP:
Conducted RFQ … Enhancing
4 developers market
invited to next assessment &
phase evaluating
proposals
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Paj 10
Securing Dover’s
Energy Future
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Paj 11
Electricity Service Requires Both Capacity and Energy
CAPACITY ENERGY
Electrical
Electrical energy to
generation potential
satisfy customer
to ensure system
usage
reliability.
Capacity and energy are sold and priced independently.
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The Power of Integration
Paj 12
Dover Faces Net Deficits in Energy and Capacity
Dover Generation Deficit: FY 2007-08 Actuals
Total Energy
Energy Capacity
& Capacity
Dover Obligation 770,999.0 MWh 190.2 MW* --
Cost ($56.9) M ($12.2) M ($69.1) M
Value from Dover
Generation
$1.0 M $11.7 M $6.4 M**
Dover Dependence on PJM
($55.9) M ($0.5) M ($62.7) M
Market (effective purchases)
Supplied by Dover
1.7 % 96.4 % 9.3 %
Generation
* Weighted average capacity obligation accounting for change in obligation with the start of the PJM
2009 Capacity Year
** Value remaining after $6.6M Generation O&M expense is subtracted.
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Paj 13
Fuel and Power Prices Are Extremely Volatile …
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Paj 14
… Environmental Compliance Markets Are Likewise Extremely
Volatile
Historical SO2 and NOx Allowance Prices
Historical EUA Carbon Allowance Prices
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The Power of Integration
Paj 15
Reliability Continues to Plague the Grid
Blackouts Transmission Line
Blamed on Failure Creates
Transmission Potential for Rio
Line Failure Grande Valley
Outage
Associated Press
August 26, 2005 AEP Texas
Dover, Del., October 17, 2006
Businesses
Suffer Power
Outage
Delaware State Edmonton Power
Transmission Line Outages Fuel
News
Failure Affects July 20, 2006 Blackout Fears –
Nearly 3,500 in Increased Demand
Southwest Mason Across Transmission
County Power Lines Could Cause
Outage Catastrophic Failure
Stormwire
Mason County PUD July 22, 2008
November 25, 2008
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Paj 16
Dover’s Position and Market Dynamics Drove Decision
Energy + Capacity
Deficits
Unprecedented Volatility in Decision to
Energy, Capacity and Explore New
Compliance Markets Sources of
Long Term
Supply
Concerns about through an
Reliability of Imported RFP – New
Supply Steel in the
Ground
Concerns about New
Environmental
Compliance
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The Power of Integration
Paj 17
Request for Proposal (RFP) Designed to Leverage Competitive
Market
Objectives
• Explore generation options for meeting the City’s growing capacity
shortfall
• Enhance reliability and provide cost effective energy solutions
– The RFP stated “The City is particularly interested in cost-based,
intermediate or higher dispatch generation to compliment its current
supply portfolio. Dover is also interested in opportunities to integrate
renewable energy sources into its supply mix. ”
• Provide options for utilizing the Garrison Tract site
• Employ the development community to present viable options
• Utilize market based information from the development community,
enhanced with Pace’s independent view, to assess proposals
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Paj 18
RFP Process Designed for Flexibility Governed by Clear Objectives
Request for Qualified
Qualifications Bidders & RFP
• Advertise
• Review Qual Request for Short
Packages Proposals List 1
including Concept
• Develop list of
“Qualified Bidders” • Review indicative
proposals Exclusive, Decision
Open Book
• Utilize open book • Ratify a contract, or
process to perform due Negotiations with
• Re open RFP, or
diligence Competitive
• Cancel RFP
• Conduct One-on-ones Threat
• City Council updates • Collaboratively develop binding contract
• Chose Finalist for • Solicit market bid for capacity and energy
“Exclusive” • Maintain right to walk away from deal
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Paj 19
Seven Unique Proposals Received In Four Categories
Capacity In-Service Acres
Option Fuel Term* Location
(MW) Date Required
Peaking Plant NG / Fuel
98 30-yr PPA 2013 Garrison Tract 20
Option 1 Oil Backup
Peaking Plant NG / Fuel
92 30-yr PPA 2013 Garrison Tract 20
Option 2 Oil Backup
Combined Cycle 100 NG / Fuel Off-Site - New
20-yr PPA 2012 N/A
Out of State Oil Backup Jersey
Combined Cycle NG / Fuel
150 30-yr PPA 2012-2013 Garrison Tract 30
Garrison Tract Oil Backup
Solar Panels 10 N/A 25-yr PPA 2011 Garrison Tract 80
Off-Site -
Wind Turbine 15 N/A 25-yr PPA 2011 N/A
Delaware
Market Capacity 2-yr Forward
25 N/A N/A DPL N/A
& Energy Contract
* PPA: Purchased Power Agreement, a long term agreement with fixed terms for capacity, energy or both
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Paj 20
Evaluation Approach Designed to Provide Both Structure and to
Allow for Diversity of the Proposals
Peakers Economic Assessment
• Capacity/Energy Pricing Qualitative Assessment
• Minimize cost of • Environmental
service Stewardship
• Maintain price stability • Use of Garrison Tract
Site
• Capacity Factors
• Schedule / Timing
GTCC/ • Ownership Participation:
Intermediate Equity
Performance Risk
• Technology Risk
• Developer Qualifications
• Technical & Market
Renewables • Municipal Experience
• Approach to Process
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Paj 21
All Proposals Have Economic Pros, Cons and Risks
Environmental
Capacity Levelized
Proposal Energy Price Fuel Risk Compliance
Value Cost
Risk
Peaking Plant
Option 1
Peaking Plant
Option 2
Combined
Cycle Out of
State
Combined
Cycle
Garrison Tract
Solar Panels
Wind Turbines
The Renewables levelized costs does not include the value from compliance with renewable portfolio
standards and carbon regulations
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Paj 22
All Proposals Had Strengths and Weaknesses
Qualitative Performance Risks
Renewable Dover Technology Developer City’s
Option Attributes Site Risk Risk Reliability
Peaking
Option 1
Peaking
Option 2
Combined Cycle –
Out of State
Combined Cycle –
Garrison Tract
Solar
Panels
Wind
Turbines
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Paj 23
Several Proposals Appear to Dominate
Qualitative Performance
Option Economics
Assessment Risk
Peaking
Option 1
Peaking
Option 2
Combined Cycle –
Out of State
Combined Cycle –
Garrison Tract
Solar
Panels
Wind
Turbines
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Paj 24
Conceptual Rendering of Combined Cycle Plant
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Paj 25
5 MW Solar Plant – Espenhain, Germany
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Paj 26
RFP Next Steps Focused on Finalizing Phase II
Request for Qualified
Qualifications Bidders & RFP
• Advertise
• Review Qual Request for Short
Packages Proposals List 1
including Concept
• Develop list of
“Qualified Bidders” To Dos
• Second Order
Exclusive, Decision
Economic Analysis Open Book
• Ratify a contract, or
• EPC Market Negotiations with
• Re-open RFP, or
Assessment Competitive
• Cancel RFP
• Solar Market Threat
Assessment • Translate negotiation objectives into
• Develop Final negotiation strategy and tactics
Recommendation • Develop priority of economic drivers
• Repetitive assess and negotiate cycles
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Paj 27
Managing Today’s
Energy Challenges
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The City is Promoting Conservation and Renewables
• Conservation
– The City has secured the services of Energy Depot to support rate
payers’ conservation and energy efficiency efforts.
– The City participates in PJM’s demand response program.
– The City supports the development of the Sustainable Energy Utility
(SEU): promotion of energy conservation, energy efficiency, renewable
energy, and energy financing.
• Renewables
– Dover makes available to its rate payers voluntary renewable energy
credits.
– The City participates in the Delaware Green Energy Program: cash
incentives for homes and businesses for the installation of renewable
energy systems.
– The City contracted through DEMEC for a portion of the BlueWater Wind
energy output. Bluewater was recently approved by the DE Public
Commissioner.
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Paj 29
Web Access to Conservation Resources and Renewable Support
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The Power of Integration