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ATTACHMENT #1
Joint Committee Meeting of 12/11/2006
City of Dover
Electric Revenue Fund
Budget & Electric Rate Review and Recommendations
December 11, 2006
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Electric Revenue Fund
Revenue, Expense & Margin Trends
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Página 4
Electric Revenue Fund
Debt Requirements (in 000’s)
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Página 5
Electric Revenue Fund
Transfers as a Percentage of Fund Revenue
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Electric Revenue Fund
Revenue & Transfer Trend – General & Electric Funds
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Página 7
Electric Revenue Fund
Annual Kilowatt Hour Sales Trend
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Electric Revenue Fund
Monthly Kilowatt Hour Sales Trend
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Electric Revenue Fund
Future Debt Requirement
Current Capital Project Plan $44.5M (excluding vehicles & plant)
Planned bond issue in 2008 - $20.0M
Increased debt service therefore increases margins to cover covenant
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Electric Revenue Fund
Assumptions Across All Alternatives
Net Margin positive in all years
Debt Service Coverage is greater than 1.25 in all years
2008 – 2011 includes $3.0M to partially fund capital
projects
2008 – 2011 includes 6.5% transfer to General Fund
2008 – 2011 assumes power supply and Pace
Management Fee stays at $84 megawatt hour
Pace Incentive Fee of $1.24 mgw in all years
Net Expense of Plant stays $3.9M in all years
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 1
Rate increase in January 2007
– 21%; No rate increase in
July 2007;
Sales of emission credits as
estimated by PACE Global
Duke Rebate – estimate
provided by Duke
Interest on reserves not
included in earlier forecast
Plant budget reduction for
FY07 as provided by NAES
Additional Margin $3.4M
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 1 – Revenue, Expense & Margin Projections
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 2
Rate increase in January 2007
– 8%; Rate increase in July
2007 – 12%;
Sales of emission credits as
estimated by PACE Global
Duke Rebate – estimate
provided by Duke
Interest on reserves not
included in earlier forecast
Plant budget reduction for
FY07 as provided by NAES
Additional Margin $3.3M
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 2 – Revenue, Expense & Margin Projections
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 3
Rate Increase in January 2007
– 8%; Rate increase in July
2007 – 12%;
Budget reductions – Transfer
to General Fund $1.8M;
Operating Exp. $.9M;
Additional Revenue – Electric
Fund $2.7 (reserve interest,
FY06 Est. Duke Rebate, &
Emission Credits)
Net Margin Increase - $5.4M
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 3 – Revenue, Expense & Margin Projections
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 4
Rate increase in January 2007
– 3%; Rate increase in July
2007 – 17%
Budget reductions – Transfer
to General Fund $1.8M;
Operating Exp. $.9M;
Additional Revenue – Electric
Fund $2.7 (reserve interest,
FY06 Est. Duke Rebate, &
Emission Credits)
Net Margin Increase - $5.4M
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 4 – Revenue, Expense & Margin Projections
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 5
No rate increase January
2007; Rate increase July 2007
– 21%;
Budget reductions – Transfer
to General Fund $3.7M;
Operating Exp. $.9M;
Reductions in service and
layoffs;
Additional Revenue – Electric
Fund $2.7 (reserve interest,
FY06 Est. Duke Rebate, &
Emission Credits)
Net Margin Increase $7.3M
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Electric Revenue Fund
Alternative 5 – Revenue, Expense & Margin Projections
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Electric Revenue Fund
Recap of Alternatives – Covenant & Rate Increase
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Electric Revenue Fund
Rate Impact – Samples by Customer Class
For Scenarios 2 & 3
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Electric Revenue Fund
Rate Impact – Samples by Customer Class
Scenario 4
Scenario 4 rates were not received from the
Consultant in time for inclusion in the packet.
We will forward this slide as soon as available.
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