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Page 1
UTILITY COMMITTEE
AGENDA
SEPTEMBER 28, 2015 - 5:00 P.M.
CITY HALL COUNCIL CHAMBERS
15 LOOCKERMAN PLAZA
DOVER, DELAWARE
PUBLIC COMMENTS ARE WELCOMED ON ANY ITEM AND WILL BE PERMITTED AT APPROPRIATE
TIMES. WHEN POSSIBLE, PLEASE NOTIFY THE CITY CLERK (736-7008 OR E-MAIL AT
CITYCLERK@DOVER.DE.US) SHOULD YOU WISH TO BE RECOGNIZED.
AGENDA ADDITIONS/DELETIONS
1. CRITICAL REPAIR - VANSANT EXHAUST PLENUM (DUE TO TIME CONSTRAINTS, THIS ITEM HAS BEEN
PLACED ON THE COUNCIL AGENDA FOR THE MEETING BEING HELD LATER IN THE EVENING)
(STAFF RECOMMENDS DELAYING INSPECTION AND REPAIRS ON THE UNIT #3 COOLING WATER LINE
AND FUNDING THE CRITICAL REPAIRS NEEDED ON THE VANSANT EXHAUST PLENUM, TRANSITION
PIECE, AND EXPANSION JOINT IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE COMPLETION DATE OF JUNE 1, 2016)
2. REVIEW OF PJM CAPACITY PERFORMANCE AUCTION
(COMMITTEE ACTION NOT REQUIRED)
3. ADJOURNMENT BY 5:50 P.M.
/TM
S:\AGENDAS-MINUTES-PACKETS-PRESENTATIONS-ATT&EXH\COMMITTEE-AGENDAS\2015\09-28-2015 UTILITY.WPD
THE AGENDA ITEMS AS LISTED MAY NOT BE CONSIDERED IN SEQUENCE. THIS AGENDA IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE TO
INCLUDE THE ADDITION OR THE DELETION OF ITEMS, INCLUDING EXECUTIVE SESSIONS.
Page 2
ACTION FORM
PROCEEDING: Utility Committee & City Council
DEPARTMENT OF ORIGIN: Electric Department - Power Plant (NAES) DATE SUBMITTED: 08/28/15
PREPARED BY: Don Mordus, Plant Manager
SUBJECT: Critical Repairs – Van Sant Exhaust Plenum
REFERENCE: Braden Manufacturing, LLC Proposal Rev 1 46569
RELATED PROJECT: Project # EG1612
REVIEWED BY: Electric Director, City Manager, Controller/Treasurer
EXHIBITS: Exhibit A – Infrared Thermography Inspection Report – Van Sant Generating Station
EXPENDITURE REQUIRED: $430,000 (Estimated) AMOUNT BUDGETED: $469,000
FUNDING SOURCE (Dept./Page in CIP & Budget): Public Utilities - Electric Generation, Unit #3 Cooling Water
Line Inspection - Repairs, CIP EG1612
TIMETABLE: Engineering and material fabrication to start in the 4th quarter of 2015 with equipment delivery and
installation to be performed at the end of the 1st quarter or early in the 2nd quarter of 2016.
RECOMMENDED ACTION: Delay inspection and repairs on the Unit #3 cooling water line and fund the critical
repairs needed on Van Sant exhaust plenum, transition piece and expansion joint in accordance with the completion date
of June 1, 2016.
BACKGROUND AND ANALYSIS
The Van Sant Frame 6B Combustion Turbine (CT) exhaust plenum, transition piece, and expansion joint have degraded
over time and now require replacement. Since beginning commercial operation in 1991, there have been occasional
upkeep repairs made to the referenced components with the latest repairs in the fall of 2014 and the summer of 2015. The
depleted condition of the plenum wall(s) allows heat infusion into the CT compartment which has started to cause damage
to the ignitors, flame scanners, and other associated control wiring instruments. This could affect the unit reliability and
availability and we are requesting expedited processing of this request to allow NAES to complete the necessary
engineering, obtain contractor quotes and contractor selection to manufacture the new plenum and install the plenum,
transition piece and expansion joint before the PJM Capacity Performance operational period for the 2016/2017
operational periods.
A Request for Proposal package was advertised by NAES. NAES is currently reviewing the submissions for the
advertisement. This work is an Original Equipment Manufacturers specialty item with a limited number of organizations
familiar enough with the installation requirements to support our desired replacement schedule. The estimate we have
received for the above work is from the original manufacturer of the plenum for Van Sant, Braden Manufacturing, LLC.
This preliminary estimate from Braden does not include replacement of the transition piece or expansion joint. In addition
to Braden Manufacturing, LLC NAES will obtain at least three (3) proposals from other contractors familiar with this
work, Consolidated Fabricators and Universal Acoustics and Emissions Technology. NAES will continue to research
additional resources capable of performing this work to ensure we have the best capable contractor and cost estimate(s).
NAES would like approval and permission, based on this action form, to proceed with and select the highest evaluated
bidder to immediately award the project once the bids are received and reviewed. This request is only to promulgate the
expeditious manufacture of the material component parts necessary to perform these repairs, without further review by
City Council. The proposals will be evaluated using cost, experience, and completeness of bid to select the contractor
who will perform the work. All work must be completed prior to June 1, 2016.
Page 14
Review of PJM Capacity
Performance Auction
Prepared for Dover, DE City Council
September 28, 2015
Page 15
Electric System Market Uncertainty
• The City’s electric system is exposed to
economic uncertainty caused by several risk
factors:
– Energy Market Price Uncertainty
– Capacity Market Price Uncertainty
– Fuel cost & availability risks
– Generation operational risks
– Load growth uncertainty
– Etc.
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 2
Page 16
Electric System Market Hedging
• Dover purchases fixed price energy hedge
contracts several years in advance to minimize
energy price uncertainty
• Dover owns generating plants to hedge
Capacity market price risks
• Dover has also recently executed a 40 MW, 5-
year capacity purchase from Calpine to hedge
capacity market price risks
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 3
Page 17
PJM Capacity Market Overview
• PJM established a mandatory capacity market mechanism
– Generators sell capacity (ability to produce energy) and receive
capacity payments from PJM
– Retail Load Serving Entities (“LSEs” such as Dover) make capacity
payments to PJM to insure it has sufficient capacity reserves to
serve retail customers
• Capacity is generally purchased from generators through a
uniform clearing price auction for 3 years into the future
– Capacity prices to be paid to generators are known 3 years in
advance
– Capacity prices to be paid by load to PJM are based on the BRA,
subject to adjustment as PJM conducts incremental auctions
between the BRA and the Delivery Year (DY)
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 4
Page 18
PJM’s New Capacity Performance Product
• Implemented for Delivery Year 2018-2019
– Partial implementation with partial-market “transition auctions”
for DY 2016/17 & 2017/18
• Potential non-performance penalties substantially
larger than legacy RPM market design
• Expected to cause capacity prices PJM pays to
generation owners to significantly increase
• Retail Load Serving Entities (such as Dover) will pay PJM
for this cost increase (Locational Reliability Charge)
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 5
Page 19
Comparison of Legacy RPM & CP
Legacy RPM CP (Capacity Performance)
• Non-performance penalty amount • Non-performance penalty amount
based on PJM’s peak hour based on actual capacity
availability short-fall of generating performance during declared
units emergencies
• Non-performance penalty price • Non-performance penalty price
based on Auction Clearing Price based on Net Cost of New Entry
• Dover incurred a penalty of divided by assumed 30 hours/year
$562,994 for generation short- of emergencies
falls during February 2015 peak • This is substantially higher than
hours (11.3 MW short-fall on 175 MW of under legacy RPM
UCAP x $136.5/MW-Day x 365 days/year)
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 6
Page 20
Dover’s Participation in PJM CP Auctions
• DY2016/17 Transition Auction (Aug. 26-27, 2015)
• Offered 45 MW (VanSant only) at near-maximum price
• Auction Clearing Price of $134/MW-Day
• Dover did not clear this auction
• Will receive $119.34/MW-Day under legacy RPM construct
• Will not be exposed to higher non-performance risks
• DY2017/18 Transition Auction (Sept. 3-4, 2015)
• Offered 145.9 MW (McKee Run 3 and VanSant) at near-maximum price
• Auction cleared at $151.50/MW-Day
• Dover did not clear this auction either; will retain $120/MW-Day under RPM
• Will not be exposed to higher non-performance risk
• DY2018/19 BRA (Aug. 10-15, 2015)
– Offered 145.9 MW as Self-supply (price taker)
• Received award of $225.42 per MW-Day
• Annual revenues = $12.0 million
• Dover is exposed to new CP non-performance risks
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 7
Page 21
PJM Capacity Price History
PJM Auction Price – DPL South Zone
$300
Capacity Performance
Market Auctions in Aug-Sep 2015
$250
Dollars per Megawatt-Day
$200
$150
$100
$50 Enhanced Demand-Side
Participation Implemented
$0
Delivery Year
Legacy RPM Capacity Performance Design
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 8
Page 22
Dover’s Economic Risk of Non-
Performance of Generating Units
• Under PJM’s new CPM:
– Penalties are based on the number of hours PJM
dispatches Dover’s generating units during PJM
emergency events
– The Penalty Rate applicable to Dover for DY18/19 is
$3,143/MWh of deficiency
– Market design includes stop-loss limit
• Dover’s Expected CP Revenue: $12.0 million
• Max Non-Performance Penalty: $20.6 million
• Net CP Revenue after max penalty: (-$8.6 M)
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 9
Page 23
Capacity Revenue at Risk for Dover’s
145 MW of Generation (DY2018/19)
$15
Millions $10
$5
Net Capacity Revenue
after Penalty
$0
($5)
Penalty (Risk)
($10)
($15)
($20)
($25)
0 8 16 24 32 Max
Non-Performance Penalty Hours
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 10
Page 24
Pro-Active Mitigation Measures
• Dover has now two years to prepare for the changes and set up safe guards
to help insulate customer from any rate shock.
• Training the staff on the rules and definition of Peak periods/days.
• These period day are limited to when PJM declares emergency operations.
There been very few in past two years.
• Review of critical spare parts to help reduce any generation outages.
• Run the units for shake down before and after each peak periods to finds
and repair any found problems.
• Review the possibilities of expanding the Rate Stabilization Reserve account
to lower the impact to electric customers.
• Review with the plant operator if any repairs and overhauls need to be
perform sooner than later to make sure the units will perform when call on.
This is culture change for everyone including the City and the budget
process.
• TEA and City staff are currently negotiating firm gas and fuel contracts to
guarantee delivery and transmission of fuel requirements.
September 23, 2015 CONFIDENTIAL & PROPRIETARY 11