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UTILITY COMMITTEE
AGENDA
December 8, 2008 - 5:00 P.M. - Council Chambers - City Hall - City of Dover
Public comments are welcomed on any item and will be permitted at appropriate times.
When possible, please notify the City Clerk (736-7008 or e-m ail at Tm cdowell@dover.de.us)
should you wish to be recognized.
AGENDA ADDITIONS/DELETIONS
1. PACE/NAES Monthly Report (October)
A. Emissions and Allowance Management
a-1. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Issue/SO2 Market: DC Circuit Court Vacation of CAIR
(Requested during 9/22/08 Utility Committee Meeting)
2. Energy Efficiency, Conservation, and Climate Change
A. Federal Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant - NLC Legislative
Action Request
B. State Energy Plan - Brief Update by Committee Chair on Overall Planning
Process
C. Dover's Climate Change Plan - How Do We Benchmark and Measure Our
Progress in Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
3. Adjournment by 5:55 P.M.
/tm
S:\ClerksOffice\Agendas&Minutes\Committee-Agendas\2008\12-08-2008 UTILITY.wpd
THE AGENDA ITEMS AS LISTED MAY NOT BE CONSIDERED IN SEQUENCE. THIS AGENDA IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE TO
INCLUDE THE ADDITION OR THE DELETION OF ITEMS, INCLUDING EXECUTIVE SESSIONS.
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City of Dover
October Monthly Report
Energy and Operations Management
November 20, 2008
This Report was produced by Pace Global Asset Management, LLC (“Pace Global”) and is meant to be read as a whole and in
conjunction with this disclaimer. Any use of this Report other than as a whole and in conjunction with this disclaimer is
forbidden. Any use of this Report outside of its stated purpose without the prior written consent of Pace Global is forbidden.
Except for its stated purpose, this Report may not be copied or distributed in whole or in part without Pace Global’s prior written
consent.
This Report and the information and statements herein are based in whole or in part on information obtained from various sources
as of October, 2008. While Pace Global believes such information to be accurate, it makes no assurances, endorsements or
warranties express or implied, as to the validity, accuracy or completeness of any such information, any conclusions based
thereon, or any methods disclosed in this Report. Pace Global assumes no responsibility for the results of any actions and
inactions taken on the basis of this Report. By a party using, acting or relying on this Report, such party consents and agrees that
Pace Global, its employees, directors, officers, contractors, advisors, members, affiliates, successors and agents shall have no
liability with respect to such use, actions, inactions, or reliance.
This Report does contain some forward-looking opinions. Certain unanticipated factors could cause actual results to differ from
the opinions contained herein. Forward-looking opinions are based on historical and/or current information that relate to future
operations, strategies, financial results or other developments. Some of the unanticipated factors, among others, that could cause
the actual results to differ include regulatory developments, technological changes, competitive conditions, new products, general
economic conditions, changes in tax laws, adequacy of reserves, credit and other risks associated with City of Dover and/or other
third parties, significant changes in interest rates and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.
Further, certain statements, findings and conclusions in this Report are based on Pace Global’s interpretations of various
contracts. Interpretations of these contracts by legal counsel or a jurisdictional body could differ.
over
25 Website: www.paceglobal.com
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.0 - Executive Summary.....................................................................................................................2
2.0 - Budget Report..............................................................................................................................5
2.1 – Variance Report ..................................................................................................................5
2.2 – Variance Analysis...............................................................................................................7
3.0 – Energy Management...................................................................................................................8
3.1 - Purchased Power .................................................................................................................8
3.2 - Generation Management ...................................................................................................11
3.3 - Emissions and Allowance Management............................................................................18
4.0 – Operations Management..........................................................................................................20
Appendices..........................................................................................................................................36
I. PJM Invoice Breakdown....................................................................................................36
II. Load, All In Energy and all in cost of service table ..........................................................37
III. Glossary ........................................................................................................................38
Proprietary & Confidential 1 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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1.0 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
All In Unit Energy Cost - Actual v Budget
Generation MWh's: Actual v Budget Actual Load vs Budget Load
12,500 $96
100,000
$94
10,000
75,000 $92
$90
7,500
MW h MWh 50,000 $ /M W h
$88
5,000 $86
25,000 $84
2,500
$82
0 $80
0 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Budget Gen Actual Gen Budget Actual Budget ($/MWh) Actual ($/MWh) Budget WA Actual WA
Purchased Power Management
Wholesale load for the month of October was 58,391 MWhs versus a three year historic weather
normalized load of 61,170 MWhs. Hedged transactions accounted for 55,720 MWhs or 95.4% of
this volume (91.1% of forecasted load) at a cost of $4.38 million. Spot Market purchases resulted in
a PJM charge of $272 thousand ($365 thousand charge in the Day Ahead market and a $93 thousand
credit in the real time market). Other PJM related charges accounted for an additional $1.109 million
cost, inclusive of all load related fees. October All-In Energy Unit Cost, excluding capacity
obligations and credits was $0.13/MWh above the October 2008 budget of $87.47/MWh. For the
year, projected All-In Energy Unit Cost is $0.38/MWh above the budget; based on YTD actual
results and budgeted values for subsequent months.
Generation and Asset Management
For the month of October, PJM did not dispatch the McKee Run or the Van Sant units. Stable PJM
system grid operations and lower system demand resulted in neither favorable nor unfavorable
production margin.
Emissions and Allowance Management
During the month of October, Pace arranged for the sale of 28 tons of NOx allowances at $750 per
ton resulting in $20,720 of net revenue to the City (after $10 per ton commission). Total net revenue
through October 30th from allowance sales for the 2008-09 fiscal year is $165,470, accounting for
Broker’s fees. No SO2 allowance sales have occurred in the 2008-09 fiscal year.
Given current dispatch expectations, the market value of the Dover allowance inventory is $484,740
at the time of this report. If sold, Dover would realize $650 thousand in revenue for the year. This
would result in a $782 thousand unfavorable variance.
SO2 allowance prices continue to remain depressed as uncertainty remains regarding the post SO2
regime since the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals’ vacature of the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR),
and it does not appear that prices will significantly increase in the near term. EPA and several
Proprietary & Confidential 2 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 5
environmental groups requested that the US Court of Appeals re-hear certain parts of CAIR. Since
the request several petitioners have filed briefs with the Court urging that the re-hearing be denied.
With debate continuing regarding appropriate actions and timelines for addressing the vacature,
many are now looking to the new Congress to enact a legislative solution to the CAIR battle. EPA
also expects a further increase in the bank of SO2 allowances due to the projection that 2008
emissions will again fall below the 8.95 million ton cap. The combination of this net long SO2
position and worsening financial conditions has further depressed allowance prices to $170 per ton.
Seasonal NOx allowance prices have steadily declined as the December 1 true-up approaches.
Generators appear to be in aggregate long NOx allowances due to lower energy demand and
reported well-functioning emission controls. Buying interest has decreased, and prices have dropped
well below the City’s target price to $550 per ton. The City sold 150 tons at $975 per ton and 28
tons at $750 per ton.
After the close of the first RGGI quarterly auction in September, allowance prices moved to $4/ton.
The next auction is scheduled for December 17, 2008. Based on projected generation and emissions
Dover is projected to have an excess of 70,000 allowances through 2013 with a market value of
$280,000. Pace will continue to monitor the RGGI market and will advise Dover regarding
allowance sales if the market alters.
EMISSIONS & ALLOWANCE SUMMARY
Allowance Allowance Emissions Emissions Allowances Allowances Allowance
Vintage Allocation Month YTD Sold Month Sold YTD Balance
SO2 – 2007 2723 0 98 0 2076 549 1
SO2 – 2008 2723 0 30 0 0 2,693
NOx – 2007 198 0 32 0 166 0
NOx – 2008 198 0 20 0 178 0
Operations Management Summary
During the month of October, there were no employee or contractor related OSHA injuries, illnesses
or time loss accidents. There were zero Environmental Notices of Violations issued during the
month. All the McKee Run Units were on planned outage during the entire month.
The VanSant Unit was available but not called for by PJM. There was an environmental deviation
during the month due an underground oil leak which was discoverd during a pipe flushing process
being performed as part of the pollution remediation project.
Monthly Budget Variance – The actual expenses attributable to O&M of the two sites for the month
of October were $479,722. The expenses were $71,024 above the approved budget of $408,698. The
principal reason for the negative variance is due auxiliary electric and water usage bills not
expensed September but were paid in October.
1
Corrected 2007 SO2 tons emitted to reflect actual emission for Units 3 & 11. December, 2007 report included
emissions for all four units.
Proprietary & Confidential 3 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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Major activities for the Month include the Pollution Remediation Project construction work along
with the planned outage work for all McKee Run Units.
Risk Management Summary
Energy commodity prices continued to fall since the last reporting period, driven by instability in
the financial markets and concerns about the slowing economy and reduced demand. Forward
crude oil prices fell below $60/barrel, while natural gas forward prices decreased to the mid-
$6/MMBtu range. In turn, PJM forward power prices decreased by $2.48/MWh (3.6%) for Fiscal
Year 2009-2010 and $1.39/MWh (2.0%) for Fiscal Year 2010-2011.
As a result of lower forward power prices, the City’s projected wholesale Cost-of-Service for all
forward power years decreased compared to the last reporting period, as shown in the table below:
Wholesale Cost-of-Service Summary (Projected)
$/MWh 2
Budget November October September
Cost-of- Cost-of Hedge Year-to Forecasted Cost-of Cost-of
Service Service Ratio Year over Service Service
Power Year Budget $/MWh Increase 2008-09 $/MWh $/MWh
Budget
2008-2009 $90.18 $90.88 92%* 9.9%** 0.77% $91.07 $91.17
2009-2010 N/A $93.56 87% 3.0% 3.75% $93.66 $94.24
2010-2011 N/A $88.82 62% -5.1% -1.51% $89.30 $90.82
2011-2012 N/A $85.21 51% -4.1% -5.51% $86.30 $87.86
2012-2013 N/A $85.85 27% 0.7% -4.81% $86.07 $87.48
* Reflects balance of year hedge ratio for current Power Year
** FY 07/08 Cost-of-Service is $82.70/ MWh
2
Includes Energy, Load Following, PJM Fees, and PGAM Base Fees and estimated Incentive. The values in the table
reflect the terms of the First Amendment to the Energy Management Agreement.
Proprietary & Confidential 4 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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2.0 - BUDGET REPORT
2.1 – VARIANCE REPORT
Budget Actual Variance
Oct-08 Oct-08 Oct-08
Load Forecast 61,170 58,391 2,779
Power Supply
Power Supply $4,038,112 $4,385,374 ($347,262)
Power Supply Management $227,837 $241,991 ($14,154)
Capacity Charges - Load $885,313 $893,960 ($8,647)
PJM Charges - Load $1,084,524 $487,547 $596,977
Total - Power Supply $6,235,785 $6,008,871 $226,914
Generation
Plant Operations $407,446 $479,721 ($72,275)
Generation Fuel $23,911 $19,749 $4,162
Capacity Credits ($765,406) ($765,406) $0
PJM Credits ($5,403) ($5,729) $325
Total - Generation ($339,453) ($271,665) ($67,787)
Emission Allowance Sales
Total - Emission Allowance Sales $0 ($20,720) $20,720
Total Power Supply & Generation $5,896,333 $5,737,206 $159,127
Total Power Supply, Generation & Emission
Sales $5,896,333 $5,716,486 $179,847
Unit Costs
Total – Power Supply $101.94 $102.91 ($0.97)
Total - Generation + Emission Sales ($5.55) ($5.01) ($0.54)
Final Cost of Service to City of Dover
Ratepayers $96.39 $97.90 ($1.51)
Proprietary & Confidential 5 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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Budget Actual Variance
YTD YTD YTD
Load Forecast 292,157 278,704 13,453
Power Supply
Power Supply $20,094,923 $21,465,209 ($1,370,286)
Power Supply Management $958,824 $1,024,097 ($65,273)
Capacity Charges - Load $3,512,694 $3,547,686 ($34,992)
PJM Charges - Load $5,180,969 $2,849,290 $2,331,679
Total - Power Supply $29,747,410 $28,886,281 $861,128
Generation
Plant Operations $2,023,168 $1,722,568 $300,600
Generation Fuel $1,721,028 $1,376,108 $344,920
Capacity Credits ($3,088,384) ($3,070,013) ($18,371)
PJM Credits ($1,995,079) ($1,483,327) ($511,752)
Total - Generation ($1,339,266) ($1,454,664) $115,398
Emission Allowance Sales
Total - Emission Allowance Sales ($144,500) ($168,470) $23,970
Total Power Supply & Generation $28,408,144 $27,431,617 $976,526
Total Power Supply, Generation & Emission
Sales $28,263,644 $27,263,147 $1,000,496
Unit Costs
Total – Power Supply $101.82 $103.65 ($1.83)
Total - Generation + Emission Sales ($5.08) ($5.82) $0.75
Final Cost of Service to City of Dover
Ratepayers $96.74 $97.82 ($1.08)
Proprietary & Confidential 6 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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2.2 – VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Power Supply
• Power Supply realized an unfavorable $347 thousand variance compared to the budget due to
the purchase of additional forward positions totaling 3,720 MW hours in October. This
purchase was transacted after the FY 2008 budget was submitted to Dover.
• The Power Supply Management variance is merely an estimate at this point.
• As discussed on during the July, 2008 Management Committee the PJM Base Residual
Auction on April 3, 2008 resulted in a new $ per MW.day UCAP charge. This charge results
in unfavorable variances each month.
• PJM Charges Load resulted in a favorable variance of $597 thousand compared to the
budget. The increased hedge position reduced the open position MW hours relative to budget
accounting for more than half of this variance, In addition, the reduced demand resulted in
an additional reduction of 2,779 MW hours accounting for $227 thousand of variance.
Finally, the basis between the locations hedged and Dover resulted in an additional favorable
variance. These favorable variance were partially offset by a combination of unfavorable
variances in the transmission network integration charges the transmission rights credits and
the ancillary services.
Generations
• Plant O&M resulted in an unfavorable variance of $72 thousand compared to the approved
budget of $407 thousand due to auxiliary electric and water usage bills paid in October for
September usage.
• Generation Fuel realized a favorable variance of $1.1 thousand for the month primarily due
to lower than expected base load gas costs, and fixed fuel and credits to Eastern Shore
imbalance.
Emission Allowance Sales
• On October 14, Pace arranged and executed the sale of 28 tons of current year vintage NOx
allowances, resulting in $20,720 (including broker’s fees) of revenue for the City.
Proprietary & Confidential 7 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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3.0 – ENERGY MANAGEMENT
3.1 - PURCHASED POWER
Management Highlights
• Dover’s October load was 58,391 MWh which was 95.4% of the historic weather
normalized load of 61,170 MWh. Hedge volumes also equaled 95.4% of actual load for
the month.
• October All In Unit Energy cost excluding capacity of $87.60 is $0.13 per MWh above
budget for the month. The 7% increase in the hedge volume compared to budget with the
4.5% decrease in the volume resulted in a 71% reduction in the open position volume. This
resulted in a positive absolute dollar variance for the open position.
Actual Load vs Budget Load
100,000
75,000
MWh 50,000
25,000
0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Budget Actual
Proprietary & Confidential 8 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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All In Unit Ene rgy Cost - Actual v Budge t
$96
$94
$92
$90
$/MWh
$88
$86
$84
$82
$80
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Budget ($/MWh) Actual ($/MWh) Budget WA Actual WA
Proprietary & Confidential 9 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 12
Purchased Power Variance Report
Budget Actual Variance
Oct-08 Oct-08 Oct-08
City of Dover Load
Load Obligation (MWh) 61,170 58,391 2,779
Unit Energy Costs ($ per MWh)
Energy Cost (inc. Load Following & Pace Fees) $82.02 $81.30 $0.72
Pass Through $4.45 $5.01 ($0.56)
Incentive Fees $1.00 $1.29 ($0.29)
Total - All In Unit Energy Cost $87.47 $87.60 ($0.13)
Purchased Power Variance Analysis
• Actual Dover load of 58,391 MWh was 95.5% below the projected October load of 61,170
MWh.
• The All In Unit Energy Cost resulted in an unfavorable $0.13 per MWh variance
predominantly caused by higher than anticipated open energy costs per MWh; an increased
hedge cost due to the placement of a hedge in June at a price greater than the weighted
average price of the existing hedges and the $ per MWh unfavorable variance for the open
position and other PJM charges.. The unfavorable variances were partially offset by a
favorable volume variance.
• The Management Incentive fee variance on a $/MWh basis is merely an estimate at this
point.
PJM Power Balancing and Load Related Fees
Purchased Power (Hedges): 55,720 MWh’s @ $78.70/MWh: $4,385,373
Power Balancing and Additional PJM and Energy Manager Fee 3: $1,623,498
Total Cost to Serve Load (58,391 MWh’s) $6,008,871
ALL in $/MWh load cost inclusive of Energy Manager Fees: $102.91/MWh
3
Includes estimated Incentive Fees.
Proprietary & Confidential 10 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 13
3.2 - GENERATION MANAGEMENT
• As budgeted for the month McKee Unit 3 and VanSant units did not operate for PJM.
Generation MWh's: Actual v Budget
12,500
10,000
7,500
MWh
5,000
2,500
0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Budget Gen Actual Gen
Proprietary & Confidential 11 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 14
2008-09 Generation Production Margin v Budget
$500
Thousands
$450
$400
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
($50) Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
($100)
Budget ($) Actual ($)
*Notes: July 2008 Report’s 2008-09 Generation Production Margin v Budget graph displayed incorrect actual amount. The graph shown above has
been corrected to reflect the actual value.
Proprietary & Confidential 12 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 15
Generation Management Variance Report
Budget Actual Variance
Oct-08 Oct-08 Oct-08
Self-Supplied Capacity from Gen (MW)
McKee Run 1 13.2 13.2 0
McKee Run 2 16.7 16.7 0
McKee Run 3 97.4 97.4 0
Van Sant 38.1 38.1 0
Self Supplied Capacity from Gen (MW) 165.4 165.4 0
Additional Capacity from PJM Incremental
Auction 7.9 7.9 0
Total Capacity from Gen (MW) 173.3 173.3 0
Gen Capacity Sales to PJM ($/MW.d) $148.80 $148.80 0
Incremental Auction Sales to PJM ($/MW.d) $10.00 $10.00 0
Power Sales
Power Sales (MWh) 0 0 0
Sales Revenue ($ per MWh) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Power Sales Revenue ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Variable Fuel & Transport
Fuel Oil No.2 Volume (gal) 0 0 0
Fuel Oil No.2 ($/gal) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Fuel Oil No.2 Cost of Goods Sold ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Fuel Oil No.6 Volume (gal) 0 0 0
Fuel Oil No.6 ($/gal) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Fuel Oil No.6 Cost of Goods Sold ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Gas Volume (Dth) 0 0 0
Unit Gas Price ($/Dth) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Variable Gas Cost ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Transport ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Variable Gas and Transport Costs ($) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Variable Fuel & Transport Costs ($) $1,200.00 $0.00 $1,200.00
Testing $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Generation Production Margin $1,200.00 $0.00 $1,200.00
Generation Capacity Payment
Total - Generation Capacity Payment ($765,406) ($765,406) $0.00
Proprietary & Confidential 13 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 16
Generation Management Variance Analysis
Fuel Expense
• PJM did not dispatch Dover units into the market and it did not consume any fuel oil nor spot
natural gas purchase for the month.
• Natural gas was consumed for heating the residual resulting in a fuel cost of $15,307.
Generation Production Margin
Transaction Volumes Revenue/(Cost)
PJM Invoice for Power Sold 0 MWh’s $0
Fuel and Transport 0 dth gas/0 gal #2 oil ($0)
0 gal #6 oil
Generation Production Margin 0 MWh’s $0
The following non-production energy revenues and costs are generally fixed and not directly related
to generation dispatch and power production.
PJM Invoice (Black Start) $5,729
Fuel Oil Tank Heating & Black Start Gas Supply ($12,927)
Eastern Shore Demand Charge ($4,490)
Eastern Shore Transport and Imbalance Charge $1,457
Transco Demand Charge ($3,789)
Non-Production Energy Revenue/Costs ($14,020)
Proprietary & Confidential 14 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 17
Fuel and Transportation
The McKee Run Unit 3 and Van Sant Unit 11 were not dispatched for the month; hence neither units
required any purchase of spot natural gas.
Date Volume (Dth) Price ($/Dth) Total Commodity
Cost ($)
New Jersey NG
Sub-Total 0 $0
Hess Corp
Sub-Total 0 $0
Chesapeake
Sub-Total 0 $0
Total 0 $0.00 $0.00
Gas was contracted and purchased on a firm basis in October to maintain the No.6 fuel oil
inventories at McKee Run at approximately 160 degrees. This firm delivery base load gas supply has
been purchased from Sempra Energy. The Details of this deal are as follows:
Firm Gas Supply Price Per dth Total Cost
55 dth/day $7.582 $12,927.31
Proprietary & Confidential 15 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 18
Gas Transportation Purchased
Eastern Shore Natural Gas Pipeline and TransCo agreements provide for deliveries to the McKee
Run and VanSant stations. These charges include a firm demand charge and prior period
adjustments as follows:
ESNG FT Demand Charge $4,490
TransCo FT Demand Charge $3,789
Total Purchases $8,279
Other Gas Purchases
Commodity and transportation imbalances on Eastern Shore Pipeline for the month resulted in a
credit of $1,457.26 and it is summarized as follows.
Eastern Shore Transport and Imbalance Charges
Imbalance/dth Estimated Cost/dth Estimated Total Cost
446 $3.37 $1,500.79
$1,500.79
Transport Volume/dth $/dth Total Cost
Firm/IT 1,197 $0.04 ($43.53)
Net $1,457.26
Purchased Commodity Fuel Oil Summary
In preparation for the upcoming fuel oil conversion project, McKee Unit 3 tank inventory no.6 fuel
oil was sold to FCC at $0.98 per gallon with 122,598 gallons totaling $120 thousand revenue for
City of Dover. Once the no. 6 fuel oil was extracted from the tank, the initial inventory of low sulfur
no.2 fuel for McKee tank was required to extract remaining fuel in the pipeline and post operational
tests. McKee tank received initial inventory of $50,000 gallons and the total purchase was nearly
$124 thousand.
Van Sant dispatches in September required an additional purchase and replenish of fuel oil no.2 to
Van Sant inventory. Approximately 56,801 gallons were purchased, totaling purchase of $230
thousand.
Proprietary & Confidential 16 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 19
Tank Inventory Estimates as of October 31
Tank Tank Capacity Inventory In Days of Burn
(gallon) (gallon) (Typical Dispatch 4)
McKee Run (#6 Fuel 2,554,105 49,630 N/A
Oil to #2 Fuel Oil)
VanSant 258,000 111,412 3
(#2 Fuel Oil)
October 2008 Fuel Oil Purchase
Date #2 Oil Inventory Cost
Purchased Price ($/gal)
(gal)
McKee
Oct-17 14,164 $2.4434 $34,608
Oct-20 28,729 $2.4864 $71,432
Oct-21 7,107 $2.4864 $17,671
Total 50,000 $2.47 $123,710.95
Van Sant
Oct-28 14,197 $2.079 $29,516
Oct-29 14,200 $2.079 $29,522
Oct-30 14,200 $2.079 $29,522
Oct-31 14,204 $2.079 $29,530
Total 56,801 $2.079 $118,089
4
McKee Run Unit 3 is undergoing a planned outage to convert its fuel oil to distillate oil. #6 Fuel Oil was sold and #2
Fuel Oil was purchased. Under typical dispatch, VanSant consumes 3,000 gallons per hour and under typical dispatch
would be dispatched up to six hours.
Proprietary & Confidential 17 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 20
3.3 - EMISSIONS AND ALLOWANCE MANAGEMENT
As shown in Exhibit 1, total net revenue from allowance sales for the 2008-09 fiscal year is
$165,470, accounting for Broker’s fees. City of Dover holds 2,693 tons of vintage 2008 SO2
allowances and no tons of vintage 2008 NOx allowances. Additionally, the City has a balance of 549
tons of vintage 2007 SO2 allowances. At the August 21, 2008 Management Committee meeting the
Committee set a trigger price for the SO2 allowances of $260/ton whereby if the City could achieve
this price it would sell half of its SO2 allowances.
Exhibit 1: Emissions and Allowance Summary through October 30, 2008
2008-2009 EMISSIONS & ALLOWANCE SUMMARY
SO2 NOx
Date Action Allowance Sale Revenue1 Allowance Sale Revenue1
Allocation Price Allocation Price
1/1/08 Initial 2008 2,723 -- -- 198 -- --
Allocation
1/1/08 2007 549 -- -- 0 -- --
Carryover
7/21/08 Sold 150 -- -- -- -150 $975.00 $144,750
tons NOx
10/14/08 Sold 28 -- -- -- -28 $750 $20,720
tons NOx
10/30/08 2008 YTD -30 -- -- -202 -- --
Emissions
Totals
- 2007 Vintage 549 -- -- 0 -- --
Allowances
- 2008 Vintage 2,693 -- -- 0 -- $165,470
Allowances
$165,470
$0
Total Revenue $165,470
Notes:
(1) Revenue calculations account for a $1/ton broker fee for SO2 and a $10/ton broker fee for NOx.
(2) NOx emissions pertain only to seasonal emissions (May 1 – Sep 30).
During the month of October, Pace arranged for the sale of 28 tons of NOx allowances resulting in
$20,720 of net revenue to the City. There was no change in the inventory values of the City’s
emission allowances. Total net revenue through October 30th from allowance sales for the 2008-09
fiscal year is $165,470, accounting for Broker’s fees. No SO2 allowance sales have occurred in the
2008-09 fiscal year.
Given current dispatch expectations, the market value of the Dover allowance inventory is $484,740
at the time of this report. If sold, Dover would realize $650 thousand in revenue for the year. This
would result in a $782 thousand unfavorable variance.
Proprietary & Confidential 18 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 21
SO2 allowance prices continue to remain depressed as uncertainty remains regarding the post SO2
regime since the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals’ vacature of the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR),
and it does not appear that prices will significantly increase in the near term. EPA and several
environmental groups requested that the US Court of Appeals re-hear certain parts of CAIR. Since
the request several petitioners have filed briefs with the Court urging that the re-hearing be denied.
With debate continuing regarding appropriate actions and timelines for addressing the vacature,
many are now looking to the new Congress to enact a legislative solution to the CAIR battle. EPA
also expects a further increase in the bank of SO2 allowances due to the projection that 2008
emissions will again fall below the 8.95 million ton cap. The combination of this net long SO2
position and worsening financial conditions has further depressed allowance prices.
Seasonal NOx allowance prices have steadily declined as the December 1 true-up approaches.
Generators appear to be in aggregate long NOx allowances due to lower energy demand and
reported well-functioning emission controls. Buying interest has decreased, and prices have dropped
well below the City’s target price to $550 per ton.
After the close of the first RGGI quarterly auction in September, allowance prices moved to $4/ton.
The next auction is scheduled for December 17, 2008. Based on projected generation and emissions
Dover is projected to have an excess of 70,000 allowances through 2013 with a market value of
$280,000. Pace will continue to monitor the RGGI market and will advise Dover regarding
allowance sales if the market alters.
Proprietary & Confidential 19 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 22
4.0 – OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
Management Highlights
• Completed the month of October accident free and have now recorded 1,304 consecutive
days without reportable accidents.
• During the month, there were no unit dispatches of any of the McKee Run units due to the
Pollution Remediation/Oil Conversion Project Outage. Unit #11 at VanSant was available for
the month of October but was not dispatched.
• As part of the Oil Conversion Project, Pace Global on behalf of the City of Dover contracted
with FCC to purchase the remaining #6 fuel oil inventory.
• Progress continues on the Pollution Remediation Project which includes the fuel oil
conversion from #6 fuel oil to #2 fuel oil. On October 1, Units 1, 2 and 3 went into a
planned outage scheduled to last until December 31, although it is expected that the
conversion will be completed in early December.
• During the month of October, the McKee Run facility began flushing the fuel oil transfer
piping with No. 2 fuel oil as part of the pollution remediation project. During the flushing
process, a leak was discovered in the fuel oil supply line coming from the tank to the plant.
Immediate actions were taken to find the source of the leak which was located in the piping
that passes through the earthen dike. Notifications were made to DNREC, NRC and
emergency cleanup contractors.
• The replacement of the CEMS computers at McKee Run and VanSant Generating Stations
were completed. These computers were installed to comply with EPA reporting requirements
which specified that EDRs be submitted in .xml format.
• Completed the installation of new low NOX gas burner spuds for all MRGS units as part of
the Pollution Remediation Project which began on October 1, 2008.
• The Maintenance Supervisor Position was filled by an in-house candidate, Phil Marvel, who
prior to accepting the position, was the Plant Electrician. With Mr. Marvel assuming the new
position, it has now created a void in the maintenance team that the plant is actively working
to fill. The position of IC/E Technician has been posted on the NAES website and in several
of the local papers.
• Three senior operators attended Fred Pryor leadership training on Coaching Skills for
Managers and Supervisors on October 15th. This training was designed to improve their
leadership and coaching skills for the future.
• The following is the NAES Monthly Report as submitted to PGAM
Proprietary & Confidential 20 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 23
North American Energy Services
Dover, DE
October 2008
Monthly Report
Unit 3 – “A” Deck Oil System Modifications
Proprietary & Confidential 21 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 24
Table of Contents
1.0 Environmental, Health and Safety
2.0 Financial
3.0 Operations
4.0 Maintenance
5.0 CIP
6.0 General Plant Information
7.0 Summary of NAES Performance
Proprietary & Confidential 22 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 25
1.0 Environmental, Health and Safety
Completed the month of October accident free and have now recorded 1,304 consecutive days
without a reportable accident.
During the month of October, the McKee Run facility began flushing the fuel oil transfer piping
with No. 2 fuel oil as part of the pollution remediation project. During the flushing process, a leak
was discovered in the fuel oil supply line coming from the tank to the plant. Immediate actions were
taken to find the source of the leak which was located in the piping that passes through the earthen
dike. Notifications were made to DNREC, NRC and emergency cleanup contractors. The clean up
process began the following morning and included the remediation and the staging of contaminated
soil from a section of the earthen dike and surrounding area. It is expected that the damaged piping
will be replaced, the earthen dike repaired and all contaminated soil tested and removed from the
facility all during the month of November.
Environmental, Health and Safety Statistics
Month Fiscal Year to Date
(October 2008) (7/1/08-6/30/09)
NOVs 0 0
Opacity Deviations 0 2
Environmental Deviations 1 1
OSHA Recordable 0 0
OSHA LTA's 0 0
First Aid cases 0 0
Restricted Workday Accident 0 0
Near Miss 1 2
Man Hours Worked 5,305 20,679.25
Date last OSHA Recordable 4/05/05
Date last Lost Time Accident 4/05/05
Days since last OSHA recordable 1,304
Days since last Lost Time Accident 1,304
Emissions (NOx & SO2) All data thru 10/31/08
NOx Summary - Year (May-Sept.)Tons
Year Unit #1 Unit #2 Unit #3 Unit #11 TOTAL
2005 20.16 20.64 103.3 2.19 146.29
2006 1.82 1.78 19.25 1.72 24.57
2007 3.3 2.7 25.9 0.7 32.6
2008 1.01 0.96 17.0 1.28 20.25
NOx Allowances Summary
NOx NOx NOx Allowances Available Total NOx NOx
Allowance Allowances (Per Facility, Prior to Sale) Tons Emitted Allowance
Vintage Sold YTD McKee Run VanSant (NOx Season) Balance
2007 165 191 7 33 0
2008 178 191 7 20 0
2009 0 191 7 0 198
Note: NOx Season is May 1 to September 30.
Proprietary & Confidential 23 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 26
SO2 Summary - Year (Jan.-Dec.)Tons
Year Unit #1 Unit #2 Unit #3 Unit #11 TOTAL
2005 49.91 52.08 530.24 2.30 634.69
2006 3.69 1.51 50.7 0.40 56.30
2007 6.28 5.31 97.69 0.28 109.56
2008 0 0 28.9 0.6 29.5
SO2 Allowances Summary
SO2 Allowances
SO2 Available Total SO2 SO2
Allowances (Per Unit, Prior to Tons Allowances
SO2 Allowance
Sold - YTD Sale & Emitted – Balance
Vintage
Reconciliation) U3 and U11
Unit #3 Unit #11 YTD
2006 2725 2586 139 51 0
2007 2076 2585 138 98 549
2008 0 2585 138 30 2693
2009 0 2585 138 0 2723
CO2 Allowances Summary*
CO2 CO2 CO2 Allowances Available Total CO2 CO2
Allowance Allowances (Per Facility, Prior to Sale) Tons Emitted Allowance
Vintage Sold YTD Balance
McKee VanSant
Run
2009 0 60,128 2,056 0 62,184
2010 0 48,102 1,645 0 49,747
2011 0 36,077 1,234 0 37,311
2012 0 27,058 925 0 27,893
2013 0 15,032 514 0 15,546
* Note: All CO2 allowance values are estimated at this time.
Proprietary & Confidential 24 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 27
2.0 Financial
Financial – Current Month
Month – October 2008
Actual Budget Variance
Personnel 225,220 229,974 4,756
Administrative 65,899 80,574* 14,675
EH & S 2,876 2,000 (876)
Maintenance Expense 49,971 31,850 (18,121)
Operations Expense 135,755 64,300 (71,455)
Total $479,722 $408,698* ($71,024)
*-Includes Operator Incentive Expense (Not Invoiced until end of fiscal year)
Financial – Fiscal Year to Date
Number of Months – 4
Actual Budget Variance
Personnel 908,737 1,045,430 136,693
Administrative 408,835 479,195* 70,360
EH & S 3,460 7,500 4,040
Maintenance Expense 81,504 122,900 41,396
Operations Expense 294,990 373,150 78,160
Total $1,697,527 $2,028,175* $330,648
*-Includes Operator Incentive Expense (Not Invoiced until end of fiscal year)
2.1 Variance analysis
For the month of October, an unfavorable variance of $71,024 was achieved due to the following:
PERSONNEL EXPENSES – A favorable variance of $4,755 was achieved by realizing lower labor
costs due to fill-in shift coverage expenses.
ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES – A favorable variance of $14,675 was achieved primarily due
to lower insurance expenses costs than budgeted and operator incentive not invoiced(will be
invoiced in June).
ENVIRONMENTAL, HEALTH, AND SAFETY EXPENSES – An unfavorable variance of $876
was realized because of the newly implemented fire retardant uniform rentals for plant employees.
MAINTENANCE EXPENSES- Unfavorable variance of $18,122 was due to the purchase of spare
low NOx gas tips for all three McKee Run unit burners as part of the McKee Run Pollution
Remediation Project and McKee Run battery charger replacement due to equipment failure.
OPERATING EXPENSES – An unfavorable variance of $71,455 was realized when the previous
months’ auxiliary electric and water usage invoices which were not paid in September were instead
paid in October.
YEAR-END EXPENSES- A favorable variance of $330,648 has been realized for this year-to-date.
We are currently forecasted at $5,774,863 expensed versus $5,921,643 budgeted for a 97.52%
expense-to-to-budget rate. This includes the updated Employee Incentive and Employee Incentive
Burdens which will be invoiced in June 2009.
Proprietary & Confidential 25 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 28
3.0 Operations
Unit Operations / Outages / Trips
• During the month, there were no unit dispatches of any of the McKee Run units due to the
Pollution Remediation/Oil Conversion Project Outage. Unit #11 at VanSant was available for
the month of October but was not dispatched.
Month – October 2008
McKee McKee McKee MRS VanSant Total
Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Facility Unit 11 All Units
Capacity MW 17 17 102 136 39 175
On Line Hours Hrs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Starts # 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gross Generation MWh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Generation MWh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Auxiliaries MWh 25.012 25.012 138.818 188.842 1.767 190.609
Auxiliaries purchased MWh 25.012 25.012 138.818 188.842 1.767 190.609
Fuel Gas Used MMBTU 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fuel Oil Used MMBTU 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fuel Oil Used Gallons 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Fuel MMBTU 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Heat Rate BTU/KWh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unit Trips # 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capacity Factor % 0 0 0 0 0 0
Availability Factor % 0 0 0 0 100 25
Commercial
% 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unavailability (CU)
Planned Outage 737.00 737.00
Hours 737.00 2,211.000 0 2,211.000
Hours
Maintenance Outage
Hours 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hours
Forced Outage Hours Hours 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reserve Shutdown
Hours 7.00 7.00 7.00 21.000 744.00 765.000
Hours
HW Boiler Gas Usage MMBTU 1,219 1,219
Pilot Gas Usage MMBTU 0 0 0 0
# Note: Does not include HWB or Pilot Gas. Fuel usage numbers are taken from fuel flow instruments
Proprietary & Confidential 26 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 29
2008-2009 Fiscal Year-to-Date (4 Months)
McKee McKee McKee MRS VanSant Total
Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Facility Unit 11 All Units
Capacity MW 17 17 102 136 39 175
On Line Hours Hrs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Starts # 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gross Generation MWh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Generation MWh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Auxiliaries MWh 94.062 94.063 1,378 1,567 5.596 1,573
Auxiliaries purchased MWh 94.062 94.063 614.878 803.003 4.788 807.791
Fuel Gas Used MMBTU 0 0 51,381 51,381 9,754 61,135
Fuel Oil Used MMBTU 0 0 45,213 45,213 6,273 51,486
Fuel Oil Used Gallons 0 0 297,805 297,805 45,328 343,133
Total Fuel MMBTU 0 0 96,593 96,593 16,028 112,621
Net Heat Rate BTU/KWh 0 0 11,801 11,801 12,931 11,949
Unit Trips # 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capacity Factor % 0 0 2.72 2.72 1.08 1.82
Availability Factor % 75.03 75.03 75.03 75.03 100 81.28
Commercial
% 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unavailability (CU)
Planned Outage Hours Hours 737 737 737 737 0 2,211
Maintenance Outage
Hours 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hours
Forced Outage Hours Hours 0 0 0 0 0 0
Reserve Shutdown Hours Hours 2,215.000 2,215.000 2070.734 6,500.734 2915.916 9416.650
HW Boiler Gas Usage MMBTU 5,158 5,158
Pilot Gas Usage MMBTU 0 0 0 0
VanSant Lifetime through 10/31/08
Actual Starts Factored Starts Fired Hours
VanSant 1189 2000.15 3,912.2
Since HGP - Dec 2004 140 332.45 528.578
Fuel Oil Inventory
Monthly Monthly Fuel Monthly FY 08-09 Fuel FY 08-09
Inventory Inventory Purchases Inventory Inventory Purchases Inventory
(Start) (End) (Month) (Change) (Start) (YTD) (Change)
McKee Run
(#6 Fuel Oil
134,852 49,630 49,781* (85,222) 426,048 49,781* (376,418)
to #2 Fuel
Oil)
VanSant
(#2 Fuel Oil) 56,633 111,412 56,801 54,779 99,950 56,801 11,462
Note: As measured by tank level instruments. Tank levels may change due to oil temperature.
Note: VanSant oil tank level gauge calibrated on 8-19-08.
Note: * - #6 Fuel Oil was sold ( approx. 122, 000 gallons) and #2 Fuel Oil was purchased
Proprietary & Confidential 27 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 30
Capacity Testing – FY 2008-2009
Summer 2008 (June 1- Aug 31) Winter 2008-2009 (Dec 1- Mar 1)
Unit Rated Net Reported Net Unit Rated Net Reported Net
Capability (MW) Capability (MW) Capability (MW) Capability (MW)
1 17 17.09 1 17 NT
2 17 17.55 2 17 NT
3 102 102.72 3 102 NT
VanSant 39 40.09 11 40 NT
Total 175 177.45 Total 176 0
Note: NT depicts a unit that has not completed capacity test for the PJM Demonstration Period in FY 2008-2009. It is
expected that all units will be entered into the PJM Winter Capacity Test Exemption Program.
Team Report:
The operators continue to use the plant readiness program for training and refreshing their plant
knowledge on different systems to improve the plant’s reliability. Some of the training involved
promotes teamwork with other staff members to work together to find a solution and to promote
further discussions on equipment operation. The operators also use the GPi Learning courses to
improve their knowledge and skills.
Three senior operators attended Fred Pryor leadership training on Coaching Skills for Managers
and Supervisors on October 15th. This training was designed to improve their leadership and
coaching skills for the future.
Operations also had training on the new CEMS software that was installed at McKee Run and
VanSant in October. Every operator that was available had an opportunity to learn more about
the new program software and computer display screens with a VIM Technologies
representative.
The operators are continuing their on line training for PJM Systems Generation Operator and
plans are being made to set up a training session in the first part of next year.
Proprietary & Confidential 28 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 31
4.0 Maintenance
During the month of October, plant maintenance staff continued addressing the backlog of work
orders and focused on keeping all units available to our client. Seventy –one work orders were
issued during the month, with thirty-one work orders being completed during the month.
The table below summarizes the monthly work order activities.
Work Order Report
October - 08
Outstanding
From Outstanding
Previous Issued This Completed at the end of
Priority # Months Month This Month the month
P1 0 1 0 1
P2 1 1 0 2
P3 7 3 6 4
P4 14 16 10 20
P5 25 11 10 26
P6 0 0 0 0
P7 3 0 2 1
P8 0 0 0 0
P9 4 2 0 6
P6 - 1 0 0 0 0
P6 - 2 0 0 0 0
P6 - 3 0 0 0 0
P6 – 4 1 0 0 1
P6 – 5 0 0 0 0
P6 – 6 0 0 0 0
P6 – 7 0 0 0 0
P6 - 8 0 0 0 0
PM 19 37 3 53
Totals 74 71 31 114
Note: PM's are included in the priority totals
Proprietary & Confidential 29 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 32
Notable activities during the month include:
1) Completed the installation of new low NOX gas burner spuds for all MRGS units as part of
the Pollution Remediation Project which began on October 1, 2008.
2) Installed new CEMS sample line.
3) Drained #1 Fuel oil tank and flushed tank/pipe lines with #2 Diesel fuel.
4) Installed new burner shrouds on unit 3 boiler.
5) Installed new temperature probe for the City of Dover Radio room.
6) Removed insulation from all fuel oil heaters in preparation of mechanical contractor work.
7) Installed new Beck air register drive units.
8) Contracted out work for the asbestos removal for the areas around the unloading , transfer
and burner pump.
9) Electrical contractor mobilized to start the modifications associated with the Pollution
Remediation Project.
Proprietary & Confidential 30 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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5.0 Capital Improvement Projects (CIP)
Project Description Update
Number
EG0801 MR Fire Progress: Project deferred to 2009 to investigate
Protection an alternative technical approach.
System Upgrades Schedule: Installation now projected to be June
2009
EG0804 MR Pollution Progress: Installation phase of the project was
Remediation officially started as the planned outage of all units
Equipment commenced October 1. Engineering work is 95%
complete. Critical materials were received through
out the month. Major equipment not yet received
include the Unit 1 and 2 burner pumps.
Schedule: On track for fall 2008 outage installation
and June, 2009 compliance testing
EG0901 MR Unit 3 Progress: Bids received from the vendors higher
Continuous than expected resulting in increased project
Emissions estimate from original. Equipment and installation
Monitor PO issued. REGGI reporting requirements will
now be incorporated into project scope
(CEM)
Schedule: Replacement was completed in October
2008.
EG0902 VS Unit 11 Progress: Bids received from the vendors higher
Continuous than expected resulting in increased project
Emissions estimate from original. Equipment and installation
Monitor (CEM) PO issued. REGGI reporting requirements will
now be incorporated into project scope.
Schedule: Replacement was completed in October
2008.
EG0903 MR Unit 3 Progress: This same work was performed on
Continuous VanSant unit in 2008. We are expecting to utilize
Opacity Monitor the same vendor that did the work on Van Sant.
(COM) Schedule: Unit 3 replacement equipment has been
ordered to be completed in fiscal year 2008-09.
Proprietary & Confidential 31 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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EG0904 MR & VS Arc Progress: Phase one will determine scope and
Flash Analysis costs to implement which will provide input to cost
benefit analysis/ justification to proceed with the
second phase. Task statement defining the scope of
work currently being developed
Schedule: The initial phase of the project to be
completed no later than June of 2009 and the
second phase to complete in May 2010.
5.1 CIP Budget
Project Description Original Budget Latest
Number ($ X 1000) Estimate
($ X 1000)
EG0801 MR Fire Protection System 50 50
Upgrades
EG0804 MR Pollution Remediation 3800 2600
Equipment
EG0901 MR Unit 3 Continuous 30 50
Emissions Monitor
(CEM)
EG0902 VS Unit 11 Continuous 30 50
Emissions Monitor (CEM)
EG0903 MR Unit Continuous 30 30
Opacity Monitor (COM)
EG0904 MR & VS Arc Flash Analysis 125 125
The current total for Project EG0804 expensed to date is $561,036.48. The expenses for the month
of October were $227,809.04.
Proprietary & Confidential 32 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
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6.0 General Plant Information
Training
Plant employees continue working on their General Physics topics during the month. The inclusion
of these courses has provided opportunities for increased knowledge of plant operations, to satisfy
OSHA and PJM requirements, and to build a solid foundation for cross training employees at the
City of Dover generation facilities. These courses are included in the Employee Qualification
program that will help prepare operators for advancement within the line of progression jobs.
For the coming year, several Seniors Operators have been tasked with achieving PJM Generation
Systems Operator certification. Operations staff members continue to help calibrate gauges and
provide other support in an effort to aid maintenance and provide cross training in different areas of
the plant. Operations personnel continue dry run training on the units as part of our Plant Readiness
program.
Aaron Jester and Eric Carrow continue to work with the maintenance department when they are not
needed for operations support. Other operations staff will be utilized during the coming months to
support various outage related activities while the McKee Run Facility makes the conversion from
#6 fuel oil to #2 fuel oil and installs boiler modifications.
Personnel
Plant staffing for shift personnel has been reduced in order to provide additional manpower support
to the outage. During the course of the outage, shift staffing has been reduced to two men per shift
except for Saturday and Sunday day shift when three men will be on shift. The three man shift is to
ensure the plant is manned properly should the combustion turbine be dispatched.
The Maintenance Supervisor Position was filled by an in-house candidate, Phil Marvel, who prior to
accepting the position, was the Plant Electrician. With Mr. Marvel assuming the new position, it has
now created a void in the maintenance team that the plant is actively working to fill. The position of
IC/E Technician has been posted on the NAES website and in several of the local papers. Applicant
screening and the conducting preliminary interviews will be conducted by a three-person team of
Phil Kosek, Ray Lavender and Phil Marvel.
Other Events
As part of the Oil Conversion Project, Pace Global on behalf of the City of Dover, contracted with
FCC to purchase the remaining #6 fuel oil inventory. Work was coordinated with plant personnel to
unload the tank into waiting FCC trucks via existing plant oil pumps until suction was lost and the
pumps could no longer be used. Vacuum trucks were then supplied by FCC to remove the
remaining oil from the tank and from the plant’s oil lines. New oil (#2 w/0.05% sulfur) was then
purchased for use as the flushing medium for the oil lines. Progress was being made in the flushing
process when an apparent leak was identified on the pipe section which passes through the tank
berm. The appropriate authorities were notified regarding the leak and work commenced under the
guidance of Compliance Environmental. It is estimated the spill was less than one hundred gallons.
Proprietary & Confidential 33 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 36
Approximately 350 tons of contaminated soil was unearthed and is presently onsite waiting for soil
sample results to be returned in order for the soil to be disposed of at an appropriate landfill.
Reinstallation of the pipe is slated to occur in November. Information of approved pipe materials has
been provided by the Tank Management Section of DNREC who has been most helpful in the entire
process. The approved materials have been purchased, some of which have been already received.
Progress continues on the Pollution Remediation Project which includes the fuel oil conversion from
#6 fuel oil to #2 fuel oil. On October 1, Units 1, 2 and 3 went into a planned outage scheduled to
last until December 31, although it is expected that the conversion will be completed in early
December. Tasks completed during the month included the change out of gas spuds to a low NOx
design on all three units, installation of fixed burner shrouds and Beck Drives to provide improved
combustion control at the burner, installation of new gas scanners, burner throat repairs, and the
installation of inserts in the OFA ports to provide higher velocity OFA air penetration into the boiler.
Work continues to progress on modifying the oil and steam systems at the burner deck levels,
modifications in the burner pump room to eliminate the oil heaters, replace several of the Unit 1/2
burner pumps, replacement of the fuel oil transfer and unloading pumps and the installation of the
fuel oil unloading meter. While work is still progressing, some parts are still on back order although
it is not expected these parts will hold up progress of the project.
As part of the operational testing that will be performed on Units 1, 2 and 3 at the conclusion of the
oil conversion and boiler modifications, system checklists are being developed to ensure all
equipment is fully operational and that the unit(s) are able to meet load expectations. In addition,
operator training will be a prime focus throughout the entire process.
The replacement of the CEMS computers at McKee Run and VanSant Generating Stations were
completed. These computers were installed to comply with EPA reporting requirements which
specified that EDRs be submitted in .xml format.
The underground oil piping system at the VanSant facility has an installed and operating cathodic
protection system. Recent testing of this system revealed a lack of adequate protection along with a
finding of several defective insulating bolts. Repair and replacement of system components resulted
in restoring system functionality. As part of the DNREC AST Regulation, pressure testing of the
pipe is required and will take place in November.
Calendar of Events
Date
McKee Run Units 1, 2 and 3 Outage – Oil Conversion Project October 1, 2008 – December 31, 2008
PJM Winter Capacity Demonstration Period December 1, 2008 – February 28,
2009
EIA Reporting Requirements February 1, 2009
Title V Annual Certifications due February 1, 2009
Proprietary & Confidential 34 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 37
7.0 Summary of NAES Performance to Date
Plant Performance FY 2008-2009
Measure Month Year to Date YTD FY Maximum Incentive
Incentive
Commercial
0% 0% $85,863 $85,863
Unavailability (CU)
Safety 0 0 $16,099 $16,099
Environmental 0 0 $16,099 $16,099
Capacity Tests Completed Summer Winter Summer Winter
Unit 1 No No Yes No $1,610 $3,220
Unit 2 No No Yes No $1,610 $3,220
Unit 3 No No Yes No $9,660 $19,319
Unit 11 No No Yes No $3,220 $6,440
Total YTD Total YTD
89.29% $134,161 $150,261
Incentive % Incentive
Proprietary & Confidential 35 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 38
APPENDICES
I. PJM INVOICE BREAKDOWN
The PJM bill is a record of all Electricity Transactions, Transmission Services, Ancillary Services
and Miscellaneous fees that allow the PJM to operate. Below is a list of the line items on the PJM
bill including all generator activity.
PJM Bill Line Items Load Gen Net
Day Ahead Energy $0.00 ($365,257.25) ($365,257.25)
Realtime Energy $0.00 $93,386.84 $93,386.84
Transmission Losses Credits $0.00 $76,826.60 $76,826.60
Network Integration Transmission Service Charges $0.00 ($263,622.14) ($263,622.14)
Inadvertent Interchange Charges $0.00 ($877.07) ($877.07)
Regulation Charges $0.00 ($26,529.76) ($26,529.76)
Synchronized Reserve Charges $0.00 ($14,037.81) ($14,037.81)
Balancing Operating Reserves Charges $0.00 ($3,193.18) ($3,193.18)
Day Ahead Operating Reserves Charges $0.00 ($6,375.54) ($6,375.54)
Day-ahead Scheduling Reserve $0.00 ($357.29) ($357.29)
Synchronous Condensing Charges $0.00 ($809.61) ($809.61)
Reactive Services Charges $0.00 ($2,330.30) ($2,330.30)
Meter Correction Charges $0.00 $198.94 $198.94
Day-ahead Economic Load Response Program Charges $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Real-time Economic Load Response Program Charges $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Balancing Operating Reserves Credits $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Day Ahead Operating Reserves Credits $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Locational Reliability Charges $0.00 ($928,450.00) ($928,450.00)
Capacity Transfer Rights Credits $0.00 $32,628.12 $32,628.12
Capacity Resource Deficiency Credits $0.00 $1,862.17 $1,862.17
Demand Response and ILR Compliance Penalty Credits $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
RPM Auction Credits $765,406.12 $0.00 $765,406.12
Auction Revenue Rights Credits $0.00 $75,373.09 $75,373.09
Synchronized Reserve Credits $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
PJM Scheduling System Control and Dispatch Service Charges $0.00 ($5,721.13) ($5,721.13)
Transmission Owner Scheduling System Control and Dispatch
Service Charges $0.00 ($4,418.85) ($4,418.85)
Reactive Supply and Voltage Control from Generation Sources
Service Charges $0.00 ($23,573.31) ($23,573.31)
Black Start Service Charges $0.00 ($1,230.26) ($1,230.26)
North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) Charge $0.00 ($333.04) ($333.04)
Reliability First Corporation (RFC) Charges $0.00 ($582.82) ($582.82)
Expansion Cost Recovery Charges $0.00 ($451.05) ($451.05)
Transmission Enhancement Charges - Sept 2008 $0.00 ($6,397.60) ($6,397.60)
Black Start Service Credits $5,728.89 $0.00 $5,728.89
Non-Firm Point-to-Point Transmission Service Credits $0.00 $2,997.70 $2,997.70
Generation Deactivation $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Market Monitoring Unit (MMU) Funding $0.00 ($321.16) ($321.16)
Organization of PJM States, Inc. (OPSI) Funding $0.00 ($32.74) ($32.74)
FERC Annual Recovery $0.00 ($2,456.21) ($2,456.21)
PPA $0.00 ($7,422.11) ($7,422.11)
$771,135.01 ($1,381,506.77) ($610,371.76)
Proprietary & Confidential 36 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 39
II. LOAD, ALL IN ENERGY AND ALL IN COST OF SERVICE TABLE
Budget Load Actual Load Budget AIE Actual AIE Actual YTD AIE Budget AICS Actual AICS Actual YTD AICS
(MWh) (MWh) ($/MWh) ($/MWh) ($/MWh) ($/MWh) ($/MWh) ($/MWh)
Jul 81,189 81,060 $92.30 $94.46 $94.46 $94.85 $97.04 $97.04
Aug 82,798 73,039 $92.29 $91.36 $92.99 $101.51 $101.39 $99.10
Sep 67,000 66,214 $85.81 $89.01 $91.80 $93.47 $95.27 $97.89
Oct 61,170 58,391 $87.47 $87.60 $90.92 $96.39 $97.90 $97.82
Nov 58,037 $87.62 $96.60
Dec 59,534 $87.25 $97.05
Jan 64,805 $88.79 $101.90
Feb 63,547 $89.48 $77.20
Mar 58,753 $86.98 $95.92
Apr 56,824 $85.94 $96.34
May 62,655 $85.52 $93.92
Jun 72,496 $88.32 $100.05
Proprietary & Confidential 37 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 40
III. GLOSSARY
All In Unit Energy Cost ("AIE") accounts for the wholesale energy costs excluding capacity
obligations, capacity credits for Dover-owned generation, generation revenues, generating plant
costs, the black start ancillary services credit for the Van Sant plant, and revenues associated with
the sale of emission allowances. The AIE includes the costs from settling the hedged or forward
transactions; the energy bought on the ISO (Independent System Operator or PJM) day-ahead to
cover the open position (un-hedged); load following costs associated with balancing the actual load
in the ISO real-time market; energy management service related fees; the ISO transmission charges
and credits to load serving entities; the ISO ancillary services charges such as generation regulation,
spinning reserve, and reactive power; and the ISO administrative charges and cost of service
recovery fees.
All In Cost of Service ("AICS") accounts for the net cost of wholesale power to the City of Dover
Electric Utility. The AICS starts with the AIE and adds the costs or credits from capacity
obligations, capacity credits for Dover-owned generation, generation revenues, generating plant
costs, the black start ancillary services credit for the Van Sant plant, and revenues associated with
the sale of emission allowances.
Black Start is a generating ancillary service that is the process of restoring a generating plant to
service without the support of an external power supply to power auxiliary equipment needed for
start up operations.
Capacity UCAP Obligated Purchased is the obligation and payment by all load serving entities in
PJM including Dover for the Unforced Capacity (UCAP) requirement from PJM that satisfies the
PJM reserve requirements.
Generation Capacity Credit: is the credit provided to generators for supply capcity to the system.
The price is determined by the PJM Reliability Pricing Market auction process that includes three
auctions for each capacity year.
Generation Production Margin accounts for the variable margin excluding variable O&M and
emissions. The Generation Production Margin is calculated by taking the PJM revenues credited to
the plant including any balancing charges or credits less the fuel costs. Generation Production
Margin includes both “Economic and reliability dispatch” and “Testing.” Economic and reliability
dispatch equals the margin achieved when Dover’s generating plants are dispatched by PJM for
either economic dispatch (the system energy price is greater than the Dover bid price) or reliability
dispatch whereby PJM pays the generating cost of the plants for the hours the plant is run to support
the system. Generation Testing equals the Generation Production Margin associated with testing.
This is usually expected to be a negative margin because the plant is potentially being dispatched /
run when energy prices do not cover its costs.
Non-Production Revenue equals the credits from PJM to Dover for Generation Capacity Credit, the
Black Start Revenue and the sales by Dover of Emission Allowances.
Proprietary & Confidential 38 Dover Monthly PGAM Report October 2008 - Final
Page 41
Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant
For years, our nation’s cities have been leading the way in innovation by implementing energy
conservation and environmental protection programs to support their communities and the
national economy.
Last year, Congress and the President enacted historic comprehensive energy reform legislation
aimed at moving the U.S. toward greater energy independence and security, increasing the
production of clean renewable fuels, and increasing the energy efficiency of products, buildings
and vehicles.
The legislation included the creation of a new Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant
program that would provide grants to cities, counties, and states for innovative practices
designed to achieve greater energy efficiency and lower energy usage. These grants would fund
local initiatives, including building and home energy conservation programs, energy audits, fuel
conservation programs, building retrofits to increase energy efficiency, “smart growth” planning
and zoning and alternative energy programs. The law authorizes an appropriation of $2 billion
a year through 2012.
Message to Congress
• Thank you for enacting comprehensive energy legislation, the Energy Independence and
Security Act of 2007.
• A variety of challenges have brought increased attention and timeliness to sustainability,
including the threat of climate change, rising energy prices, and the depletion of natural
resources.
• Sustainability is a defining issue of our time, representing the broad notion that all activities
should take into account implications for people and the environment so that our actions
meet the needs of the current generation without compromising future generations.
• Our nation’s cities are innovators in implementing energy conservation and environmental
protection programs to support their communities and the national economy.
• Local governments recognize they have a central role to play in affecting change, but
need the support and cooperation of the federal government. By including funds for the
block grant program, municipal leaders will be able to expand their efforts to support
building and home energy conservation programs, and improve energy efficiency.
Request to Congress
Appropriate $2 billion for fiscal year 2009 to fund the Energy Efficiency and Conservation
Block Grant.
Page 42
U.S. MAYOR WASHINGTON OUTLOOK January 14, 2008
New USCM Energy Block Grant
Program Comes Online Just in Time
was established. This is one Meeting in the Conference’s will be participating in the
that strengthens and further 10-Point Plan. 76th Winter Meeting, to be
Conference empowers the efforts of may- The new law authorizes held January 23-25, 2008 in
ors and other local elected $2 billion annually over five Washington, DC.
Focuses on officials as they take local fiscal years (FYs 2008-2012) Specifically, this program
actions to reduce the nation’s for block grant assistance to emphasizes bottom-up, com-
Appropriations energy dependency, promote cities, counties and states. munit y-based strategies
increased energy efficiency, A graphic depiction of how to help the nation meet its
for New develop greener energy sup- these resources are to be energy and climate protection
plies and further climate pro- allocated to support city- and challenges, an approach that
Program tection goals. county-based activities is Conference leaders identified
Enactment of this new provided in the chart below. early on as a critical element
By Conference Staff initiative, called the Energy With the EECBG program of any successful national
Efficiency and Conserva- and funding authorization energy strategy.
When President Bush tion Block Grant Program in place, the Conference Funding for the EECBG
signed the “Energy Indepen- (EECBG), is the product of and its member mayors program takes on even
dence and Security Act of a nearly yearlong effort by are now working to secure greater immediacy, as the
2007” into law (PL 110-140), The U.S. Conference of May- actual funding (i.e., appro- nation’s already weaken-
a new $10 billion federal ors and its member mayors, priations) for the program, ing economy absorbs addi-
partnership with the nation’s as first unveiled one year which is among the top pri- tional ill effects from high
cities, counties and states ago during the 75th Winter orities before mayors who energy costs, largely driven
EECBG Funding Allocations
$2 Billion Annual Appropriation
First year funding can be used for strategy development; funding in subsequent years is only for
implementation of city and county strategies approved by U.S. DOE.
2% 2%
U.S. DOE Competitive Grant Program ($40 million) Tribal Programs ($40 million)
All non-formula cities/counties are potentially eligible for funding
68% 28%
Formula City & County Program* Balance of State Program
($1.36 billion) ($560 million)
• Every city with a population of 35,000 or more • Each state is required to pass through at
least 60 % of it funding share to cities and
• Every county with a population of 200,000 or more
counties not receiving direct formula funding
• In addition, each state (including Puerto Rico) is guaranteed to have at
• Each state decides how to award these funds
least its 10 largest cities and 10 largest counties eligible for formula
among these cities and counties
grants, regardless of population
* Law (PL 110-140) directs U.S. DOE to develop a formula for allocating block grant funds among these cities and counties, with population factors a key consideration.
The United States Conference of Mayors • usmayors.org U.S. MAYOR Page
Page 43
U.S. MAYOR WASHINGTON OUTLOOK January 14, 2008
by record oil prices. Already, mitment to prompt EECBG tary, and the factors used to A key trigger in the law
Congressional and Admin- funding as a response to allocate funds among formula is a directive that the Energy
istration leaders are calling these conditions. recipients are different as well, Secretary must publish in the
for action on an economic While the following pro- with the new law requiring the Federal Register, not later 90
stimulus package and there vides a brief overview of the Energy Secretary to develop days from the beginning of
is renewed attention to the key features of the EECBG a formula based largely on each fiscal year for which
need for more immediate program, the actual legisla- population factors. grants are to be made avail-
and more dramatic efforts to tive language can be found As depicted in the accom- able, the formula to distribute
curb the nation’s energy use, in Title V (Sections 541-548) panying chart, two percent of funds under this program. In
especially petroleum. of Public Law 110-140. program funding is reserved effect, if Congress provides
In addition, when the to Indian tribes, and another appropriations, either in a
mayors’ campaign to enact EECBG Modeled two percent is retained by supplemental measure and/or
this block grant program after HUD’s CDBG, the Secretary of Energy to in a FY 2009 appropriations
was first initiated, slightly with Differences support a competitive grant bill, the Secretary would have
more than 350 mayors had The new EECBG program program. In addition to local to move immediately to issue
signed The U.S. Conference is largely modeled after the funds provided by formula or the formula for the program.
of Mayors Climate Protec- highly-successful Community through the state, any non- Once a formula city or
tion Agreement. Currently, Development Block Grant formula city or county can county receives its first year
773 mayors have joined on (CDBG) program, which was also apply to the Secretary funding, it must develop an
as signatories. Importantly, first enacted in 1974. for funds under this program. Energy Efficiency and Con-
the five-year authorization Like CDBG, the largest However, the Secretary is servation Strategy pursuant
period for the EECBG pro- share of total funding (i.e., 68 directed to give priority to to the requirements of the law
gram is nearly concurrent percent) is allocated directly localities applying for funds and submit it within one year
with the five-year period, by formula to eligible cities from less populated states of receipt of these funds. In
ending December 31, 2012, and counties. Similarly, each (i.e., two million or less) or subsequent years, additional
which is the Agreement’s tar- state receives a funding share to local projects that result in funding is limited to imple-
get date for achieving emis- (i.e., 28 percent) to serve cit- “significant energy efficiency mentation of an approved
sion reduction goals set forth ies and counties not directly improvements or reductions strategy.
in the Kyoto Protocol. eligible for formula funds. in fossil fuel use.” Within two years of receipt
of an initial grant, each for-
mula recipient must report to
the Secretary on the status of
its implementation of the strat-
Enactment of this new initiative, called the Energy egy, including an assessment
Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant Program of the energy efficiency gains.
Annual reporting is required
(EECBG), is the product of a nearly yearlong effort each year thereafter.
by The U.S. Conference of Mayors and its member The new law generally
mayors, as first unveiled one year ago during the identifies three key goals
for recipients of these block
75th Winter Meeting in the Conference’s 10-Point grant funds: 1) reduce fossil
Plan. fuel emissions, 2) reduce total
energy use; and 3) improve
energy efficiency in the trans-
portation, building, and any
other appropriate sectors.
Mayors participating in Also, funds provided under Key Process Steps It supports the achievement
the Conference’s upcoming the EECBG program require With enactment of the new of these goals by authoriz-
Winter Meeting, which will no matching share. law, the U.S. Department of ing a broad range of local
feature a special session on Unlike CDBG, the Secre- Energy is now beginning its programs, projects and other
the program, will be working tary of the U.S. Department of preparations for issuing vari- activities that can be funded
to make sure that Congressio- Energy is the program admin- ous rules, policies and guid- with available block grant
nal leaders and other policy- istrator, not the Housing and ance to support the startup of resources (see Sec. 544 of PL
makers make a strong com- Urban Development Secre- the program. 110-140).
U.S. MAYOR Page usmayors.org • The United States Conference of Mayors
Page 44
U.S. MAYOR WASHINGTON OUTLOOK January 14, 2008
Direct Formula City and County Recipients
Under the New EECBG Program*
City County Total City County Total
State‡ Recipients Recipients Recipients State‡ Recipients Recipients Recipients
Alabama 12 10 22 Montana 10 10 20
Alaska 10 10 20 Nebraska 10 10 20
Arizona 20 10 30 Nevada 10 10 20
Arkansas 10 10 20 New Hampshire 10 10 20
California 220 27 247 New Jersey 23 15 38
Colorado 20 10 30 New Mexico 10 10 20
Connecticut 16 8 24 New York 18 18 36
Delaware 10 3 13 North Carolina 22 10 32
Florida 69 23 92 North Dakota 10 10 20
Georgia 16 10 26 Ohio 34 13 47
Hawaii 1 5 6 Oklahoma 11 10 21
Idaho 10 10 20 Oregon 14 10 24
Illinois 51 10 61 Pennsylvania 14 18 32
Indiana 23 10 33 Rhode Island 8 5 13
Iowa 13 10 23 South Carolina 10 10 20
Kansas 12 10 22 South Dakota 10 10 20
Kentucky 10 10 20 Tennessee 15 10 25
Louisiana 10 10 20 Texas 77 21 98
Maine 10 10 20 Utah 19 10 29
Maryland 10 10 20 Vermont 10 10 20
Massachusetts 34 10 44 Virginia 18 10 28
Michigan 31 10 41 Washington 27 10 37
Minnesota 22 10 32 West Virginia 10 10 20
Missouri 17 10 27 Wisconsin 20 10 30
Mississippi 10 10 20 Wyoming 10 10 20
* based on 2006 Census estimates of population
‡
Recipeints in Puerto Rico not shown in table.
The United States Conference of Mayors • usmayors.org U.S. MAYOR Page
Page 45
Delaware Energy Plan
Delaware residents recently put on their energy-thinking caps on to do their part in updating
the state's energy plan. The same energy-conscious concerns apply for the Governor's Energy
Advisory Council, as it strategizes at this critical juncture for energy use and distribution in
formulating a new Delaware Energy Plan.
Pursuant to Delaware Code, 29 Del.C.Subch.II, "The Delaware Energy Act," the Governor’s
Energy Advisory Council has been charged with spearheading the updating of the Delaware
Energy Plan every five years. The plan also includes a process for public input and measures for
progress in attaining goals identified in the Energy Plan. The previous report developed by the
Governor's Energy Task Force was released in fall of 2003, while the new plan is expected to be
developed and completed by spring of 2009.
Five workgroups have been established in the energy planning process to review current policies,
resources and to make recommendations to the Governor’s Energy Advisory Council for
Delaware's future energy goals, targets and policies.
Workgroups
• Reducing Energy Use
• Reducing the Environmental Footprint of Energy Used by Delawareans
• Reducing Transportation Energy Use
• Ensuring Efficient and Effective Energy Transmission and Distribution Systems
• Supporting and Growing Delaware's Clean Energy Businesses
The Workgroups are to complete their work and report back to the Governor’s Energy Advisory
Council by December 31, 2008.
Supporting Materials
• 2003 Energy Plan “Bright Ideas for Delaware’s Energy Future”
• Energy Task Force Report Executive Summary
• Ensuring Delaware’s Energy Future - A Response to Executive Order Number 82
• Delaware's Electricity Future: Re-Regulation Options and Impacts
Related links
• Sustainable Energy Utility Task Force
• "Another Look at Delaware's Energy Future" (pdf)
Page 46
LESSONS FROM THE PIONEERS:
TACKLING GLOBAL WARMING AT THE LOCAL LEVEL
J O H N B A I L E Y
J A N U A R Y 2 0 0 7
I N S T I T U T E F O R L O C A L
S E L F - R E L I A N C E
1 3 1 3 5 t h S t r e e t S E , M i n n e a p o l i s , M N 5 5 4 1 4 • t e l e p h o n e : 6 1 2 . 3 7 9 . 3 8 1 5 • w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g
Page 47
Other publications from the New Rules Project of the
Institute for Local Self-Reliance:
Localizing the Internet: Five Ways Public Ownership Solves the U.S.
Broadband Problem
by Becca Vargo Daggett, January 2007
Big Box Swindle: The True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for
America's Independent Businesses
by Stacy Mitchell, November 2006
Climate Neutral Bonding: Building Global Warming Solutions at the State
And Local Level
by John Bailey, February 2006
The Carbohydrate Economy, Biofuels and the Net Energy Debate
by David Morris, August 2005
Minnesota’s Biomass Mandate: An Assessment
by David Morris, June 2005
A Better Way to Get From Here to There: A Commentary on the Hydrogen
Economy and a Proposal for an Alternative Strategy
by David Morris, January 2004
All available at www.newrules.org
The Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR) is a nonprofit research and educational organization that
provides technical assistance and information to city and state governments, citizen organizations and
industry.
Since 1974, ILSR has researched the technical feasibility and commercial viability of environmentally
sound state-of-the-art technologies with a view to strengthening local economies. The Institute works to
involve citizens, governments and private enterprise in the development of a comprehensive materials
policy oriented toward efficiency, recycling, and maximum utilization of renewable energy sources.
Institute for Local Self-Reliance
Minnesota Office Washington DC Office
1313 5th St. SE 927 15th St. NW, 4th Floor
Minneapolis, MN 55414 Washington, DC 20005
612-379-3815
www.ilsr.org
Cove r g r ap h i c cre di t t o War re n G e t z.
1 3 1 3 5 t h S t r e e t S E , M i n n e a p o l i s , M N 5 5 4 1 4 • t e l e p h o n e : 6 1 2 . 3 7 9 . 3 8 1 5 • w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g
Page 48
Executive Summary
As of January 2007, 355 mayors in communities representing over 54 million Americans in 49 states have
signed the U.S. Mayor’s Climate Protection Agreement (formalized in June 2005). Participating cities
agree to reduce community-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2012 to at least 7 percent below
1990 levels. The number of communities involved promises a diversity of strategies and a steep learning
curve as communities learn from one another what works, and what doesn’t work.
We surveyed the climate change activities in 10 cities to find out how well these “Kyoto cities” were do-
ing in meeting their goals and what strategies and methodologies they were using. The overriding con-
clusion is that, despite their commitment and their elaboration of significant programs, reducing GHG
emissions below 1990 levels will be a major challenge. Many cities will likely fail in their attempts unless
complementary state and federal policies are put in place. Our findings include:
• The methodologies and assumptions used to create GHG inventories differ among communities,
making comparisons between cities problematic. Convenient access to the data was sometimes
lacking. A standard GHG estimation methodology is not yet in place, but useable models exist.
Convergence and standardization may come soon. Transparency of assumptions is critical.
• In all cities, community-wide emissions have risen since 1990, sometimes dramatically. Based on
progress to date, it is unlikely that more than one or two of our ten cities and quite possibly none,
will reduce their GHG emissions 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2012. Overall emissions increases
ranged from 6.5 percent to 27 percent from 1990 baseline measurements. An exception was Port-
land, Oregon, which reports a tiny 0.7 percent increase above the 1990 baseline.
• Almost all of the cities we surveyed were expecting to realize a significant portion of their GHG
reductions as a result of actions taken by higher levels of government (e.g. a state-level renewable
portfolio standard or an increase in federal fuel economy standards). Relying too heavily on strate-
gies out of the city’s direct control could stunt creative local solutions and inhibit the city’s invest-
ments in energy-related projects that have ancillary economic and environmental benefits.
• Cities are not investing significant amounts of their own money to reduce GHG emissions. This
may be understandable, given tight budgets, but cities should remember that energy-related invest-
ments, unlike many public investments, repay themselves, often in relatively short time frames.
Institute for Local Self-Reliance w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g Lessons From The Pioneers
3
Page 49
Lessons from the Pioneers: Tackling Global Warming at the Local Level
John Bailey, Institute for Local Self-Reliance
January 2007
Introduction
“Climate change is the biggest
In February 2005, the Kyoto Protocol went into effect. More than
environmental threat facing our
140 nations formally committed to significantly reduce their
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The United States was a highly planet. When it comes to climate
visible non-signatory. In response, Seattle’s Mayor Greg Nickels change, we are all part of the
challenged mayors across the country to adopt Kyoto-like reduc- problem – and part of the solu-
tion goals at the local level. tion.”
In June 2005, the U.S. Mayors Climate Protection Agreement was Seattle Mayor Greg Nickels
adopted by the U.S. Conference of Mayors. 1 As of January 2007,
355 mayors in communities representing over 54 million Ameri-
cans in 49 states have signed the Agreement.2 A number of these cities have had climate action plans in
place for five years or more. A larger number have had long standing energy efficiency or energy conser-
vation programs.
For 33 years, the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR) has focused on bottom up solutions for national
and international problems. The willingness by over 350 U.S. cities to formally agree to do just that with
regard to the planetary threat of climate change is a welcome initiative. The number of communities in-
volved promises a diversity of strategies and a steep learning curve as communities learn from one an-
other what works, and what doesn’t work.
Insufficient time has passed to allow for a serious evaluation of the effectiveness and impact of these pio-
neering efforts. Nevertheless, ILSR believes there are lessons to be learned even at this juncture. Given
the rapidly expanding number of cities signing on to the Agreement, we decided to undertake an initial
investigation. Due to a lack of significant funding, we view this report as preliminary and hope it will
spur others to undertake a more in-depth, comprehensive examination.
This report addresses the following questions:
1) How are the top “Kyoto cities” in the United States measuring success?
2) What strategies and methodologies have they embraced to achieve their goals?
3) How well are they doing?
1 Participating cities agree to reduce community-wide GHG emissions by 2012 to at least 7 percent below 1990 levels
2 Signatories are online at http://www.seattle.gov/mayor/
Institute for Local Self-Reliance w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g Lessons From The Pioneers
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Page 50
To gather information, ILSR examined ten community-wide GHG reduction programs: Austin, TX; Ann
Arbor, MI; Berkeley, CA; Boulder, CO; Cambridge, MA; Minneapolis, MN; Portland, OR; San Fran-
cisco, CA; Salt Lake City, UT; Seattle, WA. These cities were chosen in part because they are among the
initiatives most visible in the media, in part because they are self-described as having strong and success-
ful programs, and in part because experts cite these programs as among the most effective.
Findings GHG Emissions - Boulder, CO - 2004
The overriding conclusion of our survey of these
By energy source:
"Kyoto cities" is that, despite their commitment and
their elaboration of significant programs, reducing Other Petroleum
Natural Gas 4% Fuels
GHG emissions below 1990 levels will be a major 17% 28%
challenge. Many cities will likely fail in their at-
tempts unless complementary state and federal
policies are put in place. Most do not appear to be
slowing their GHG emissions more than their state,
or the national averages.
Electricity
51%
ILSR is strongly supportive of this effort but cities
should be fully aware that the road ahead will not
be easy.
By sectors:
1. Data gathering, reporting and availability.
Street Lighting Solid Waste
1% 3%
At present, these cities do not always gather and Univ. of CO Transportation
6% 30%
report GHG emissions in a consistent manner. This Residential
17%
makes comparisons among cities difficult. In terms
of individual cities, sometimes the data is inacces-
sible or presented in a manner that is difficult for
the public to understand. Some of the cities de- Industrial
14%
scribed their frustrations and difficulties in having Commercial
to rely on electric and gas utilities to supply 29%
community-wide energy consumption data.
Some cities break down data by sector (residential,
commercial, industrial, solid waste and transportation); some by a combination of fuel source and sector
(electricity, natural gas, motor fuels and solid waste). Some report GHG emissions both ways (e.g. Cam-
bridge, Boulder). Most cities report GHG emissions in terms of metric tons of CO2-equivalent emissions,
but at least one city reported C02-equivalent emissions in short tons. 3 To allow for maximum uniformity
and compatibility, metric tons should be used.
At a minimum, there should be two breakdowns of GHG emissions – one by sector and one by energy
source. Cities should also break down energy consumption by energy source, sector and end use technol-
ogy. The effort to reduce carbon emissions overlaps but is not the same as the effort to improve energy
3 A short ton is 2,000 lbs, a metric ton is approximately 2,204.6 lbs. To allow for maximum uniformity and compatibil-
ity with emerging GHG registries and protocols, metric tons should be used.
Institute for Local Self-Reliance w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g Lessons From The Pioneers
5
Page 51
efficiency since one can adopt a strategy primarily based on shifting to lower carbon or zero carbon fuels
while maintaining the same overall energy consumption. In developing GHG emission numbers, cities
invariably will begin with energy consumption data. They should make this available.
Boulder's inventory (completed by Econergy International Corporation) has a nice example of a graphical
representation of GHG emissions that accompanies the raw numbers (see charts previous page). The
charts provide a quick way to identify sectors’ contribution to the community's emissions and which
should receive the most attention.
Econergy developed an inventory
GHG Emissions - Cambridge, MA maintenance system that will make
it easy for Boulder staff to update
their GHG inventory on an annual
basis. Boulder also negotiated an
agreement as part of recent fran-
chise negotiations with Xcel Energy
to have community-wide energy
consumption data downloaded di-
rectly to the city from the utility.
Cambridge's Climate Action Plan
report goes a step further and pro-
vides an illustration of the fuel types
used in each of the main sectors –
residential, commercial/industrial
and transportation.
Ann Arbor has compiled a compre-
hensive and transparent GHG emis-
sion inventory, thanks to the efforts
of a dedicated group of graduate
students at the University of Michi-
gan’s Natural Resources and Envi-
ronment Program.4 The remarkably
detailed report (nearly 500 pages)
contains an extensive section ex-
plaining the methodology. Some
city inventories we examined, even
when they contained good data on
overall emissions lacked any discus-
sion of the methodology used to
arrive at its quantitative conclusions.
4 Epstein, Seth; Malcoun, Joseph II; Oorbeck, Jenny; and Yamada, Mamoru, May 2003. “City of Ann Arbor Green-
house Gas Emissions Reduction Strategy,” Center for Sustainable Systems, University of Michigan.
[http://www.css.snre.umich.edu/css_doc/CSS03-02.pdf]
Institute for Local Self-Reliance w w w. n e w r u l e s . o r g Lessons From The Pioneers
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Cities could copy Ann Arbor’s strategy but it would require that the city have a staff person prepared to
guide the project along. Local graduate schools should be eager to assist. Their students, as part of a
class or independent project, could quickly, inexpensively and thoroughly gather the baseline emissions
data and provide an easy to follow methodology to allow city staffers to regularly update the database. A
note of caution that one of our cities pointed out is that a 500 page academic report will not be something
that city staffers will want to hand to decision makers and expect them to develop policy around. Any
such research analysis must be broken down into a manageable, succinct policy report.
Although city activities themselves generate only a tiny portion of the community’s overall GHG emis-
sions (typically less than 5 percent), cities should break out GHG emissions and reductions generated
from their internal municipal operations in the reports.
In reporting on GHG reduction efforts, each of the cities' GHG reports illustrated individual municipal-
level and community-wide actions that had been taken. Sometimes the lists contained dozens of actions:
improving city-owned vehicle efficiency by purchasing hybrids, switching to LEDs for traffic signals,
tightening city government and community-wide building energy codes, expanding public transit, ex-
panding recycling and capturing methane. However, most lacked a breakdown of municipal-only GHG
emissions over time. Such data is important because the municipal corporation must be the leader and
model for community-wide GHG reduction initiatives. The city must clearly demonstrate that large GHG
reductions are possible, especially in existing buildings.
Perhaps most importantly, several cities lacked a data base sufficient to allow city officials or interested
researchers to measure the community’s progress and performance. Of the 10 cities examined, three ei-
ther had no baseline or current GHG inventory or the data they did have was too limited to be of signifi-
cant utility. 5 The others had adequate inventories but often public access to the information was very dif-
ficult.
2. Methodological considerations
A standard GHG estimation methodology is not yet in place, but useable models exist. Convergence and
standardization may come soon.6 For any GHG inventory process, assumptions will have to be made that
will impact the final numbers. One basic assumption will involve drawing the boundary for GHG emis-
sions included. For example, should the inventory include GHG emissions generated by inter-city or
inter-regional commuters? Transparency is critical and whatever decisions are made, it will be important
that future inventories remain consistent to the chosen methodology so that trends in GHG emissions will
be comparable.
5 For example, Minneapolis did develop a baseline GHG inventory in 1993 for the year 1988, but a recent examina-
tion led the city to reconsider its accuracy. A new baseline analysis and current inventory are in the process of being
developed. We deemed Berkeley’s baseline inventory inadequate since it does not include the significant contribu-
tions of GHG emissions from the University of California-Berkeley and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
6 National signatories of the Kyoto Protocol itself are required to meet GHG inventory standards adopted by the Inter-
governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/ The IPCC supplies Kyoto countries
with a Good Practice Guidance document that provides the methodologies to estimate GHG emissions in four broad
sectors: Energy (electricity, heating, transportation, etc.), Industrial Processes, Agriculture and Waste.
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Many of the cities in our sample use a GHG inventory model called the Clean Air and Climate Protection
(CACP) software (http://www.cacpsoftware.com/ . Developed jointly by the State and Territorial Air Pol-
lution Program Administrators/Association of Local Air Pollution Control Officials (STAPPA/ALAPCO)
along with the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI), CACP first became
available in May 2003.
Many current and future inventory protocols rely on the ongoing work of the World Resources Institute/
World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WRI/WBCSD).7 The WRI/WBCSD models target
the business community but its spreadsheet tools can be modified and used by cities.
The California Climate Action Registry 8 (the Registry), established by state statute, has developed a Gen-
eral Protocol and industry-specific protocols based on the WRI/WBCSD models. Registry participants
use the General Reporting Protocol9 to report emissions, and then they use the Registry’s Certification
Protocol to certify that report.10 The Registry is working with other states to help them establish similar
protocols for GHG inventories and offset certifications.
The Registry appears to be on track to become the default methodology for certifiable GHG emissions
inventories at the state and local level.
Some cities using the CACP software have expressed concerns that they will not be able to meet the re-
quirements of other emerging GHG verification protocols and GHG offset trading systems. Those fears
seem to be unfounded. The latest version of the CACP software allows users access to advanced reporting
features in order to generate the data necessary to integrate GHG inventory information into the Califor-
nia Climate Action Registry. The primary differences between the two approaches are that the California
Registry requires third party certification of the GHG report while CACP doesn’t, and the Registry distin-
guishes between emissions generated directly and those generated indirectly from the use of electricity,
steam, or heat. ICLEI can help cities with an easy workaround to get the data in the correct format for use
with the Registry.
The Chicago Climate Exchange11 (CCX), the world’s first and North America’s only legally binding GHG
emission reduction and trading system, requires participants to complete an independently certified base-
line and ongoing inventory. Emissions are quantified using continuous emission monitors (when avail-
7 The WRI/WBCSD developed a GHG Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard and a Project GHG Accounting
and Reporting Standard.(http://www.ghgprotocol.org/) The program currently offers free downloads of a suite of peer-
reviewed software tools using Microsoft Excel spreadsheets.
8 http://www.climateregistry.org/ Registry participants include businesses, non-profit organizations, municipalities,
state agencies, and other entities. San Francisco, one of our profiled cities, recently became the first U.S. city to cer-
tify their emissions inventory with the Registry.
9 General Reporting Protocol, Version 2.1, June 2006 -
http://www.climateregistry.org/docs/PROTOCOLS/GRP%20V2.1.pdf
10 General Certification Protocol, Version 2, July 2003 -
http://www.climateregistry.org/docs/PROTOCOLS/General_Certification_Protocol_July_03.pdf. The Registry’s ena-
bling legislation directs two state agencies, the Resources Agency and the Environmental Protection Agency, to pro-
vide technical guidance to the Registry. The Registry participant must submit its GHG reports via a web based soft-
ware interface called CARROT (Climate Action Registry Reporting Online Tool).
11 http://www.chicagoclimatex.com/
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able), or through protocols developed by CCX and those developed by WRI/WBCSD. 12 At this time, cit-
ies participating in the CCX are including GHG emissions from municipal operations only not
community-wide emissions.
Overall, methodological issues do not appear insurmountable. Variations among methodologies are di-
minishing. However, some estimation issues may be worthy of further investigation. One involves the
way communities assess GHG emissions from activities that cross their borders. One good example is
measuring the GHG emissions from gasoline and diesel used for transportation.
Estimating emissions from transportation can be especially difficult when there is a great deal of inter-city
and suburb-to-city traffic. If citywide gasoline sales are used, the amount of emissions could be underes-
timated. If vehicle miles traveled (VMT) are used, emissions levels might be overstated. Both ap-
proaches require a variety of assumptions (e.g. allocating gas sales, allocating VMT, vehicle types, mpg
estimates) in order to calculate emissions.
Regardless of the chosen method, the resulting GHG emissions numbers can only be considered approxi-
mate. Ultimately, the most important thing the city can do is to make the calculation and assumptions eas-
ily understood and easily evaluated by the public.
For the foreseeable future, precise estimates of community-wide GHG emissions from transportation will
be difficult to calculate. The community's access to certain types of data (e.g. gas tax revenues or regional
VMT statistics) will lead them to use a particular methodology. The CACP software handles both but the
software manual steers users to utilize VMT estimates, and many cities are using that approach. In talk-
ing to the city of Portland, we came away believing that gasoline taxes (a surrogate for sales) can lead to
as accurate if not greater accuracy as VMT. Once again, it is important to make the calculation fully
transparent
3. Much of the emission variations among cities may be explained by the different carbon
content of the fuels used to generate electricity.
Per capita emissions in the ten cities range from a low of 12.2 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent
(CO2e) emissions, to 20.3 tons.13 The per capita carbon dioxide equivalent emissions was 24.5 tons for
the U.S. as a whole.14 The differences can largely be explained by the different fuel source for the city’s
electricity. In Austin, for example, over 50 percent of GHG emissions are generated from electricity con-
sumption from its largely coal fired power supply. In largely hydroelectricity-dependent Seattle, on the
other hand, electricity use accounts for less than 10 percent of the city’s overall GHG emissions.
Transportation is the other significant source of GHG emissions, varying from 17-50 percent in the ten
cities we looked at. But here too the wide variation may be tracked back to the varying level of GHG
12 Emissions are reported quarterly, and are subject to external verification and audit
13 Translate CO2 emissions into carbon emissions by dividing by 3.67. Thus per capita carbon emissions range from
3.3 to 5.5 metric tons. Insufficient data exists to estimate emission levels in Berkeley, Minneapolis and Salt Lake City.
14 Navigating the Numbers: Greenhouse Gas Emissions. World Resources Institute, 2005.
http://www.wri.org/climate/pubs_description.cfm?pid=4093
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emissions in the electricity sector. Low carbon electricity tends to lead to a higher percentage of commu-
nity emissions coming from transportation and vice versa.
The differences in the level of carbon in
electricity fuels doesn’t necessarily give a
city an advantage in achieving GHG reduc- Sources of Electricity
(2004 data for Austin, 2005 data for Seattle)
tion goals because the goals are a reduction
90%
from a 1990 baseline. Low carbon content 80%
electricity cities may have a lower baseline, 70%
60%
making their absolute GHG reduction goals
50%
lower. For Seattle, with a very low elec- 40%
tricity fuel carbon content, less future emis- 30%
20%
sions reductions can be wrung from the 10%
electric sector than in other cities and in- 0%
Coal Natural Nuclear Hydro Wind Other
stead will have to come from sectors where Gas
Seattle, WA Austin, TX
community-wide GHG savings are more
difficult (e.g. transportation). Austin, on Seattle’s electric utility overwhelmingly relies on renewable
fuels. Austin’s has a largely fossil fuel portfolio. Austin's GHG
the other hand, expects to meet more than per capita emissions are almost 30 percent higher than Seat-
42 percent of its GHG reduction target by tle’s as a result.
developing renewable energy for electric-
ity, displacing coal.
We should note that Seattle’s municipally
owned utility has become the first to be- Per Capita Emissions by Sector
come climate neutral by purchasing carbon
12
offsets to cover the remaining GHG emis-
10
sions in the electricity sector (about
8
200,000 metric tons per year).
6
4
2
4. In all cities, community-wide emis-
-
sions have risen since 1990, some- Transportation Electricity Natural Gas Other
times dramatically. Seattle, WA (1990) Austin, TX (1990)
This is a key and troubling finding, demonstrating how challenging the effort to achieve even the modest
Kyoto goals will be at the local level. Based on progress to date, it is unlikely that more than one or two
of our ten cities and quite possibly none, will reduce their GHG emissions 7 percent below 1990 levels by
2012.
Overall emissions increases ranged from 6.5 percent to 27 percent from 1990 baseline measurements. An
exception was Portland, Oregon, which reports its overall emissions a tiny 0.7 percent above the 1990
baseline.
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The mid point in the range of increases in community-wide emissions among our profiled cities is 17 per-
cent. This is almost identical to the 16 percent increase in national GHG emissions between 1990 and
2002.15
However, as the chart below reveals, there seems to be a surprising divergence between the trajectory and
slope GHG emissions in Kyoto-cities versus those of GHG emissions of the state in which that city is lo-
cated. We offer the chart with the following caveats: different methodologies used in state level GHG
inventories from the U.S. Dept. of Energy can result in different results than state level inventories con-
ducted by the states themselves. Further complicating the comparisons below are different methodologies
used by the cities as compared to the state and federal inventories. We urge a more in-depth analysis of
these differences.
GHG Emissions Change 1990-2002 and Population
Increase 1990-2000
(GHG data as close to 2002 as possible)
National
California
San Francisco, CA
Colorado
Boulder, CO
Massachusetts
Cambridge, MA
Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI
Oregon
Portland, OR
Texas
Austin, TX
Washington
Seattle, WA
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
City or State GHG Emissions Change Population Increase
Note: Community level data for the chart is coming from many different sources and state level information is coming from U.S. Dept. of
Energy and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/state_energyco2inv.html
15 Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual 2004. http://www.eia.doe.gov/
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For example, DOE’s data shows Oregon’s emissions rising by about 35 percent between 1990 and 2000.16
The GHG inventory by the State of Oregon estimates an increase of about 18 percent. The dramatic dif-
ference arises because of different methods of allocating GHG emissions from the electric sector. DOE
calculates emissions based on in-state electrical generation, the state of Oregon calculated GHG emissions
based on the regional mix of electricity and argues that it “better reflects the carbon mix associated with
the delivery of electricity to Oregon’s consumers.”17 DOE data for Oregon shows a dramatic 300 percent
increase in GHG emissions in the electricity sector between 1990 and 2000. The State of Oregon’s data
shows a much more modest 17 percent increase in electricity sector GHG emissions from 1990 to 2000.
Using the DOE data, in all but two cases, state-level GHG emissions growth was lower, often dramati-
cally lower, than GHG emissions growth in the Kyoto city within that state.
We also find an interesting correlation between population growth and GHG emissions. In virtually all
instances, jurisdictions whose population grew faster had slower emissions growth. California had almost
twice the population growth of San Francisco but a smaller emission increase. Colorado’s population
growth was almost triple that of Boulder but its GHG emission increase was only a third as rapid.
In Texas, on the other hand, population growth at the state level was only half that of Austin’s and Aus-
tin’s GHG emission growth rate was 25 percent slower than its state’s.
One theory to explain this correlation is that a greater population growth means that more people are liv-
ing in much more energy efficient housing and having more efficient appliances. It is also possible that
the methodology used by the Department of Energy and that used by the cities differs significantly.
Again, more research is needed in this area
The only truly atypical case involves
GHG Emissions per Capita and Population Portland, Oregon. Over the same time
Change 1990-2000 period, Oregon and Portland popula-
tions increased at virtually the same
Austin, TX
rate. Yet Oregon’s GHG emissions
increased almost 30 percent (using
Ann Arbor, MI
DOE data) and 19 percent (using State
Boulder, CO of Oregon data) compared to the 0.7
Cambridge, MA percent increase in Portland. Among
Portland, OR
the cities we examined, Portland is the
only one to virtually achieve a zero
San Francisco, CA
GHG emissions growth. Why?
Seattle, WA
It is possible that Portland’s urban
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
growth boundaries may have helped in
GHG Emissions per capita change Population Change %
that its population increase raised its
residential density significantly and
16 http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/state_energyco2inv.html
17 Oregon Strategy for Greenhouse Gas Reductions, State of Oregon, December 2004 (p. 150)
http://oregon.gov/ENERGY/GBLWRM/docs/GWReport-FInal.pdf
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led to an increase in the use of mass transit, reducing transportation fuel consumption beyond statewide
levels. This is certainly an area needing further investigation.
5. Some cities are relying largely on higher levels of government to implement policies that
will allow them to achieve their goals.
Almost all of the cities we surveyed were expecting, or hoping to realize a significant portion of their
GHG reductions as a result of actions taken by higher levels of government. This can mean relying on a
state-level renewable portfolio standard or an increase in federal fuel economy standards (or state stan-
dards perhaps, if California's action to limit vehicle CO2 emissions is ruled acceptable by the Supreme
Court). As the Cambridge climate change action report notes, "Changes in laws, standards, subsidies, and
incentives at the federal and state levels can have huge impacts on local emissions; they can either un-
dermine or enhance local actions."
• Ann Arbor expects that up to 75 percent of the emission reductions will come from the adoption of
a state-wide 50 percent renewable electricity standard by 2020.
• Austin proposes to achieve over 30 percent of its overall emission reductions from improved vehi-
cle efficiency and trip reductions in transportation. (1997 report)
• Cambridge proposes to achieve 60 percent of its overall emission reductions as a result of a state 20
percent renewable electricity standard and an increase in the federal fuel economy standards to 40
mpg. (2003 report)
• San Francisco proposes to meet 22 percent of its overall emission reductions from a five mpg in-
crease in the federal corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards. (2004 report)
It is clear that action by higher levels of government will be needed and helpful to the local efforts. Thus,
as part of their local climate action plans, cities should add a component that elaborates a strategy to work
with other communities to influence state and national GHG and energy related policies. Foreseeing this
necessity, the U.S. Mayors Climate Protection Agreement emphasizes that cities should be involved in
advocacy for complementary state/federal policies. Through the newly created Mayors Council on Cli-
mate Protection under the auspices of ICLEI and the U.S. Conference of Mayors, the Kyoto Cities are
forming a stronger policy arm to impact changes at the state and federal levels.
Relying too heavily on strategies out of the city’s direct control, however, can have the additional draw-
back of stunting creative local solutions and can inhibit the city’s investments in energy-related projects
that have ancillary economic and environmental benefits.
6. Many of the reductions to date have come from pollution-shifting, or from a one-time-
only capturing of landfill gas
Seattle has documented a 60 percent reduction in its municipal operation's GHG emissions from 1990 to
2000. Three actions achieved almost all the reductions. One was the sale by Seattle's municipal electric
utility of its share of the Centralia Coal Plant and a switch to purchasing cleaner electricity. One might
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call this strategy pollution-shifting since it did not reduce overall emissions but rather shifted the individ-
ual responsibility for those emissions (Seattle believes that the fossil fuel divestment and clean energy
substitution sends a strong message to the marketplace that it must become cleaner.)
Another step taken by Seattle was to install a methane collection and flaring system in the city landfill.18
Several other cities have achieved reductions largely from tapping into landfills for methane gas. Ann
Arbor reported that over 80 percent of its cumulative savings from its 1990 baseline (that is, reductions
from projected growth) were a result of tapping into its garbage landfill and recovering methane. The
Mayor of Salt Lake City claimed in the summer of 2006 that city operations have met the goals of the
Kyoto Protocol by reducing GHG emissions by 22 percent from a 2001 baseline inventory. Over 70 per-
cent of the GHG reductions from 2001 to 2005 resulted from one action – capturing methane from a city
owned landfill.
A third action taken by Seattle, and several other cities, has been to purchase carbon offsets. Seattle pro-
poses to meet about 30 percent of its overall emission reductions by purchasing carbon offsets (200,000
metric tons per year).19
Using a related but different strategy, Boulder proposes to achieve 58 percent of their overall emission
reductions from purchases of renewable energy.
Buying carbon offsets is certainly a legitimate strategy if the offset project results in real reductions in
greenhouse gas emissions. But since the carbon-offset projects can often take place outside the city's ju-
risdiction, the local government has disconnected responsibility from accountability. Tapping into the car-
bon offset market beyond a city's borders should be a lower priority GHG reduction option than initiatives
that are local. There is also an increasing public awareness that some sources of carbon offsets and pur-
chases of renewable energy credits (RECs) are not resulting in verifiable or real reductions in GHG emis-
sions (a concept known as additionality).20
7. Cities are not investing significant amounts of their own money to reduce GHG emissions
Many GHG reduction initiatives are funded from state and federal sources. Cities have often been reluc-
tant to invest their own money. This may be understandable, given tight budgets, but cities should re-
member that energy-related investments repay themselves, often in relatively short time frames. Cities
seem reluctant to invest even on initiatives with a relatively short payback. Probably the clearest evi-
dence is in the LED traffic light substitution programs. Most if not all cities are substituting LEDs for
conventional traffic signals, but few have achieved 100 percent substitution. Many will not achieve that
level for several years. Some have delayed action for years, awaiting money from state or federal or util-
ity grants, even though LED substitution has a very short payback period.
18 Our Carbon Footprint, Seattle Office of Sustainability, 2006. Flaring methane at landfills reduces CO2-equivalent
emissions substantially compared to landfills that are not flaring.
19 Seattle has emphasized local GHG reduction strategies. To that end, a portion of their carbon offset purchases
currently come from local GHG reduction projects.
20 A Consumers’ Guide to Retail Carbon Offset Providers, Clean Air-Cool Planet, 2006
http://www.cleanair-coolplanet.org/
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Cities have the ability to borrow large sums at low interest over a long term, thereby achieving significant
reductions in carbon emissions while repaying the debt from energy savings. They should more aggres-
sively pursue these opportunities. A city should finance all efficiency improvements that repay them-
selves in less than 10 years, or in half the physical lifetime of the improvement. Some cities have sug-
gested that maintaining a strong bond rating limits their ability to borrow additional money for energy-
savings projects. This may be a valid, albeit surprising situation but one that is beyond the scope of this
investigation.
Some cities are dedicating ongoing funds to specifically implement climate action plans. In November,
2006, Boulder, CO, voters passed a referendum imposing a "climate tax" on electricity consumption to
finance GHG reduction projects. Boulder climate tax will raise $860,265 in the first year, and up to
$1,342,000 each year thereafter for the period of April 1, 2007 to March 31, 2013.
Seattle’s 2007-2008 proposed budget contains a $37 million investment over two years to reduce GHG
emissions by increasing transit ridership and decreasing driving. The city allocated $3 million from its
general fund revenues. The remaining $34 million comes from a portion of a tax levy referendum passed
by Seattle voters in November 2006. Seattle (like other cities) has other ongoing programs with expendi-
tures (perhaps tens of millions of dollars) that can impact GHG emissions but are not delineated for cli-
mate change efforts.
A small first step for Kyoto-cities that we recommend is a policy of "climate neutral bonding" where any
new bond-funded building projects can result in no net increases in GHG emissions within the community
when completed.21 If a new construction project is projected to increase emissions, there must be GHG
emissions offsets within the community. Another immediate step is for the city to develop a plan to en-
sure that city operations become climate neutral as soon as possible.
Good ideas for cities taking responsibility for the global consequences of their consumption habits are
sprouting up across the country. In May 2006, the U.S. Conference of Mayor's issued an energy and en-
vironment best practices guide22 that contains dozens of interesting initiatives that cities around the coun-
try have engaged in. ICLEI along with other groups are building up resources in their Cool Mayors for
Climate Protection web site at http://www.coolmayors.org/. ILSR’s New Rules Project’s web site on en-
ergy (http://www.newrules.org/de/) features a number of innovative policies at the local and state levels.
Conclusions
America’s Kyoto cities are pioneers - building a path for others to follow. They are to be congratulated
for making a visible, public commitment to address global warming. They have gathered data and created
a benchmark (1990 emissions) against which to measure their progress. They have developed strategies
and implemented programs. They have picked the low hanging fruit (e.g. tapping into landfills, LED traf-
fic lights, purchasing renewables).
21 Climate Neutral Bonding: Building Global Warming Solutions at the State and Local Level, by John Bailey, Institute
for Local Self-Reliance, February 2006. http://www.newrules.org/de/climateneutralbonding.pdf
22 http://www.usmayors.org/uscm/best_practices/EnergySummitBP06.pdf
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These cities recognize the difficult challenge before them. Most of
them are unlikely to achieve their quantitative GHG reduction A Suggested Hierarchy for
goals. Many will miss their goals by a wide margin. Few appear Community-wide Carbon
to be doing better than their own states or other cities that have yet Reduction Efforts
to adopt a Kyoto-like standard. All are learning the limits of their
authority to effect significant changes in the energy consumption 1. Target direct emissions reduc-
habits of their populations. tions by focusing on the GHG
emissions locally by implement-
Yet the very number of cities that have formally agreed to partici- ing all cost-effective energy ef-
pate in this effort speaks to a widespread desire to take responsibil- ficiency measures (including
ity for the planetary consequences of our consumption habits. The efforts to reduce driving), on-
number of participating cities promises a wide degree of experi- site renewable energy and
mentation and innovation and a very steep learning curve. The switching to cleaner fuels.
advantage of many local initiatives is that if there is a failure, the
damage done is very small and its lessons can quickly be dissemi- 2. Target indirect emissions of
nated. If there is a success, it can quickly be replicated and refined. GHG emissions in the electricity
and transportation sectors that
It is in that spirit of innovation and refinement that we offered this are beyond the direct control of
report. the city.
Some outstanding issues to explore in more detail include: 3. Purchase carbon offsets and/
or renewable energy credits that
• Urban Forestry and carbon sinks - how to account for GHG
reductions from sequestration by trees. are from third-party verified
projects that create GHG reduc-
• Transportation estimates - how to make comparisons easier tions that otherwise might not
and measurements more precise have occurred.
• Methodologies - ensuring consistency. Do we need a national
standard?
• Offsets - Should they be local? How to make them verifiable and additional.
• Comparisons - Have the Kyoto cities done better than other cities or states?
• Costs - What administrative and operational costs does a municipal climate change program entail?
What staffing, budget, data gathering and organizational models exist?
• Why have Portland’s GHG emissions remained essentially flat and how can other cities replicate
and improve upon their efforts.
• Why are cities not investing more in short and medium term energy savings projects?
• How far can a city go to achieve Kyoto-like goals within its own jurisdiction and authority?
• Information exchange - What is the best way to develop a robust database and information ex-
change among Kyoto Cities?
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Links to the Cities and their Climate Change Web Sites
Ann Arbor, MI
City web site - http://www.ci.ann-arbor.mi.us/
Climate Change Information -
http://www.a2gov.org/PublicServices/SystemsPlanning/Energy/ClimateProtection.html
Austin, TX
City web site - http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/
Austin Energy - http://www.austinenergy.com/
Berkeley, CA
City web site - http://www.ci.berkeley.ca.us/
Energy and Sustainable Development Information - http://www.ci.berkeley.ca.us/sustainable/
Boulder, CO
City web site - http://www.bouldercolorado.gov/
Climate Information -
http://www.bouldercolorado.gov/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1058&Itemid=396
Cambridge, MA
City web site - http://www.cambridgema.gov/
Climate Protection Information - http://www.cambridgema.gov/cdd/et/env/climate/climate.html
Minneapolis, MN
City web site - http://www.ci.minneapolis.mn.us/
Portland, OR
City web site - http://www.portlandonline.com/
Climate Protection Information - http://www.portlandonline.com/osd/index.cfm?c=41896
San Francisco, CA
City web site - http://www.sfgov.org/
Climate Protection Information - http://www.sfenvironment.com/
Salt Lake City, UT
City web site - http://www.ci.slc.ut.us/
Climate Protection Information - http://www.slcgreen.com/
Seattle, WA
City web site - http://www.seattle.gov/
Seattle’s Climate Action Plan - http://www.seattle.gov/climate/
Climate Protection Information - http://www.seattle.gov/mayor/climate/
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