This text was pulled from the PDF automatically and may contain mistakes. The PDF is the official record, so check it before relying on this.
4 pages have little or no readable text here, often scans or drawings. See the PDF for those.
Page 1
ATTACHMENT #1
Regular LF&A Meeting of 11/13/2006
City of Dover
Financial Reporting &
Information Flow
November 13, 2006
Page 2
Chronology
April 2006
Meeting with Burns & McDonnell to start rate analysis 4/26/06;
Provided $84 mWh for power supply/generation based on contract negotiations; including
preliminary budgets and approximately $3 million each year for capital improvements. Rate
stabilization reserve would be used to reduce first year rate increases. Not enough time to analyze
demand charges, will do after contracts & budgets are finalized;
May 2006
Power supply and plant operation contract negotiations; Contract approved by City Council 5/3/06, start date
5/4/06
Budget preparation for plant (since the assumption was the plant was revenue neutral, it was considered to
be included in the $84 mWh)
Budget hearings with City Council 5/10 – 5/17
June 2006
Budget hearings continued 6/6 – 6/9
First formal meeting with PACE to discuss Risk Management Concepts 6/6/06
PACE verbally provided conservative estimate for plant revenue of $1.2 million
Financial Forecast & Rate Analysis Presentation by Burns & McDonnell 6/6/06 based on draft budgets, $84
mWh for power supply & plant, historical trends, and use of rate stabilization reserve in 2007.
Council update of transition by Jim Utt of PACE on 6/6; Confirmed target rate of $84 mWh achievable
Public Hearing for Electric Fund Budget 6/12/06; Plant budget still included in power supply line item
Changes to Draft Budgets based on motions made in Budget Hearings
2
Page 3
Chronology
July 2006
Plant budget finalized, insurance coverage by City of Dover, additional $300,000; Total
$6.1 million; Still included in power supply budget as approved by City Council;
City budgets finalized and downloaded into financial system;
August 2006
Review of July operating results indicated that revenues were not coming in at
expected levels; PACE & Burns & McDonnell were contacted immediately to assist in
analyzing the difference;
Preliminary evaluation indicated seasonal differences and kWh difference for June and
July months; Summer and Winter rates blended, which will cause less revenue in
summer months and greater revenues in winter months;
Meeting with Burns and McDonnell on 8/23/06 to establish time table for review and
update of the rate model and to incorporate demand and plant cost;
Revenues were still off and plant was not able to generate the revenue anticipated;
Review of July report from PACE highlighted the $1.24 mWh for incentive which was
not included in the budgeted rate of $84 mWh for power supply & operations;
Explained accounting rules require it to be budgeted for as it is an expense of the
current year.
3
Page 4
Chronology
September 2006
Met with Burns & McDonnell on 9/18 and 9/19 and analyzed complexity and rate model
line by line.
Identified corrections needed and changed the model to reflect the final budget
numbers, incentive and incremental capacity.
Revenues still not as expected; Finance Director communicated concerns to Council
on 9/18 regarding cost to operate the plant, insurance cost, and an update that the rate
analysis was underway including incorporating all the elements of the final contracts.
October 2006
Finance Director communicated to Council on 10/5 that it appeared the power cost
adjustment was not included in the base rate which approximates $7.2 million annually
as well as some other changes made to the rate analysis.
Burns and McDonnell provided the updated rate analysis to City Council highlighting
the shortfall in revenues and the need for another rate increase on 1/1/07. It was
explained the June 6 presentation misrepresented the overall revenue increase as
38%.
PACE updated Council with quarterly results; Revised estimate on plant shortfall to
$4.5 million;
4
Page 5
Residential June 6 Rate Increase
Blended rate = average winter and
summer rates; no power cost Energy &
adjustment Customer
Blended Proposed
Presented as a 24% increase to Charge
Rate Rate
rates on June 6 versus a 15% Increase
increase to energy & customer
charges on October 23
January 1 additional rate increase
of 8% would bring total increase up Residential .0902 .1146 24%
to 24% for FY07
Cause(s) of shortfall –
a) PCA?
b) Reduced growth rate and no PCA .0096 ---
reduction in fixed cost; Plant all
fixed cost; Departmental Budgets
approximately 70% fixed cost Total Bill
Increase .0998 .1146 15%
5
Page 6
Sample Residential Account
6
Page 7
Electric Fund Bond Covenant
A covenant is a promise to your bond holders
The rate model is a 5 year forecast (long-term) prepared on the
basis we use for our Comprehensive Annual Financial Report to
communicate to the public we are fulfilling the promise we made
Electric Bond Covenant – The City of Dover promised it will insure it
has sufficient net revenues to cover the maximum amount of its
debt obligation 1.25 times
Net Revenue is the difference between revenues we collect from
our ratepayers and the payments we make to our employees,
vendors, and suppliers
Current net revenue required to meet the promise is $3.3 million, or
1.25 times $2.6 million maximum annual debt payment
The promise does not include using savings to cover expenses
FY08 includes a $20 million bond issue; Rating Agencies will be
reviewing FY07
7
Page 8
Rating Agencies & Bondholders
Use of savings/reserves is not
addressing the problem when
expenses are greater than
revenues; Creates alarm;
Rating Agencies & Bond
Holders expect to see a
willingness to set rates to cover
cost of operations plus a
sufficient amount for debt
Healthy budget balance does
not equal positive net revenue
Expect to see reserves used for
intended purpose, i.e. capital
replacement, rate stabilization
Communication - KEY
8
Page 9
FY07 Projected Net Revenues
9
Page 10
Budget Balance
Cash on hand
Sufficient funds to cover
daily cash flow needs
and fluctuations
Recommended practice
is 45 days of budgeted
expenses or 12%
Not as critical if you
have other accounts to
borrow from for
temporary fluctuations
10
Page 11
FY07 Summary Budget
with Plant Break Even
October 23, 2006
11
Page 12
FY 07Financial Reporting Summary
12
Page 13
FY07 Presentation Comparison with Plant Break Even
Comprehensive Financial Report
June 6 versus October 23
In thousands (000’s) June 6 October 23 Change
Rate Revenue $81,554 $78,606 $(2,948)
Other 2,492 2,328 (164)
Utility Tax 1,778 1,441 (337)
Interest 384 634 250
Total Revenue $86,208 $83,009 $(3,199)
Power Supply $67,329 $60,775 $(6,554)
Operating Expenses 13,103 18,636 5,533
Transfer to General Fund 5,700 5,700 ---
Total Expenses $86,132 $85,111 $(1,021)
Net Revenue $76 $(2,102) $(2,178)
Reserve Transfers 5,440 --- (5,440)
Additional Increase --- 3,144 3,144
Adjusted Revenue $5,516 $1,042 $(4,474)
Interest on Long-Term Debt (885) (859) 26
Depreciation & Amortization (4,505) (4,274) 231
13
Net Income as Reported in CAFR $126 $(4,091) $(4,217)
Page 14
Summary of Presentation Changes – FY07
June 6 versus October 23
Change to Rate Revenues Change to Expenses
Growth assumption changed from
Reduction in final budget power
3% to 1%; Reduction $2.9 million
supply $1,464,000
Change to Other Revenues
Duke Rebate – reduction in revenue Pace Incentive Fee – addition to
$964,000 expense $973,000
Street Lights – addition to revenue Excess capacity (6 mgw) – addition
$840,000 to expense $63,000
Interest Earnings – added to include
I & E Fund $250,000 Final expense budgets – reduction
Utility Tax – reduction to revenue to expenses $256,000
$337,000 Utility Tax – reduction to expense
Other final budget adjustments $337,000
$40,000
Net decrease in expenses
Net $251,000 other revenue
reduction $1,021,000
Reserves
Reserves changed to transfer in and
not included in revenue $5,000,000
Rate Stab. & $440,000 Bond
Reserve
14
Page 15
Plant Cost Recovery
Budget $6.1 million
Cost Recovery $1.6
million
Deficit $4.5 million
Equates to a 6% rate
increase
Future results will be
impacted by regulation
15
Page 16
Options
Short term
Additional 8% rate increase –
promise kept
Reduce expenses – promise kept
Reduce budget balance
Reduce or eliminate transfer to
rate stabilization reserve
Transfer from reserves $4.5
million needed to cover the plant
Combination of above
Long term
Insure net revenue sufficient to
cover promise on bonds
Conduct revenue generating
potential of the plant including
capacity and regulation markets;
PACE expected to complete by
March 31;
16