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Committee Minutes. Nov 13, 2006.

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ATTACHMENT #1 Regular LF&A Meeting of 11/13/2006 City of Dover Financial Reporting & Information Flow November 13, 2006

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Chronology „ April 2006 „ Meeting with Burns & McDonnell to start rate analysis 4/26/06; „ Provided $84 mWh for power supply/generation based on contract negotiations; including preliminary budgets and approximately $3 million each year for capital improvements. Rate stabilization reserve would be used to reduce first year rate increases. Not enough time to analyze demand charges, will do after contracts & budgets are finalized; „ May 2006 „ Power supply and plant operation contract negotiations; Contract approved by City Council 5/3/06, start date 5/4/06 „ Budget preparation for plant (since the assumption was the plant was revenue neutral, it was considered to be included in the $84 mWh) „ Budget hearings with City Council 5/10 – 5/17 „ June 2006 „ Budget hearings continued 6/6 – 6/9 „ First formal meeting with PACE to discuss Risk Management Concepts 6/6/06 „ PACE verbally provided conservative estimate for plant revenue of $1.2 million „ Financial Forecast & Rate Analysis Presentation by Burns & McDonnell 6/6/06 based on draft budgets, $84 mWh for power supply & plant, historical trends, and use of rate stabilization reserve in 2007. „ Council update of transition by Jim Utt of PACE on 6/6; Confirmed target rate of $84 mWh achievable „ Public Hearing for Electric Fund Budget 6/12/06; Plant budget still included in power supply line item „ Changes to Draft Budgets based on motions made in Budget Hearings 2

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Chronology „ July 2006 „ Plant budget finalized, insurance coverage by City of Dover, additional $300,000; Total $6.1 million; Still included in power supply budget as approved by City Council; „ City budgets finalized and downloaded into financial system; „ August 2006 „ Review of July operating results indicated that revenues were not coming in at expected levels; PACE & Burns & McDonnell were contacted immediately to assist in analyzing the difference; „ Preliminary evaluation indicated seasonal differences and kWh difference for June and July months; Summer and Winter rates blended, which will cause less revenue in summer months and greater revenues in winter months; „ Meeting with Burns and McDonnell on 8/23/06 to establish time table for review and update of the rate model and to incorporate demand and plant cost; „ Revenues were still off and plant was not able to generate the revenue anticipated; „ Review of July report from PACE highlighted the $1.24 mWh for incentive which was not included in the budgeted rate of $84 mWh for power supply & operations; Explained accounting rules require it to be budgeted for as it is an expense of the current year. 3

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Chronology „ September 2006 „ Met with Burns & McDonnell on 9/18 and 9/19 and analyzed complexity and rate model line by line. „ Identified corrections needed and changed the model to reflect the final budget numbers, incentive and incremental capacity. „ Revenues still not as expected; Finance Director communicated concerns to Council on 9/18 regarding cost to operate the plant, insurance cost, and an update that the rate analysis was underway including incorporating all the elements of the final contracts. „ October 2006 „ Finance Director communicated to Council on 10/5 that it appeared the power cost adjustment was not included in the base rate which approximates $7.2 million annually as well as some other changes made to the rate analysis. „ Burns and McDonnell provided the updated rate analysis to City Council highlighting the shortfall in revenues and the need for another rate increase on 1/1/07. It was explained the June 6 presentation misrepresented the overall revenue increase as 38%. „ PACE updated Council with quarterly results; Revised estimate on plant shortfall to $4.5 million; 4

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Residential June 6 Rate Increase „ Blended rate = average winter and summer rates; no power cost Energy & adjustment Customer Blended Proposed „ Presented as a 24% increase to Charge Rate Rate rates on June 6 versus a 15% Increase increase to energy & customer charges on October 23 „ January 1 additional rate increase of 8% would bring total increase up Residential .0902 .1146 24% to 24% for FY07 „ Cause(s) of shortfall – a) PCA? b) Reduced growth rate and no PCA .0096 --- reduction in fixed cost; Plant all fixed cost; Departmental Budgets approximately 70% fixed cost Total Bill Increase .0998 .1146 15% 5

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Sample Residential Account 6

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Electric Fund Bond Covenant „ A covenant is a promise to your bond holders „ The rate model is a 5 year forecast (long-term) prepared on the basis we use for our Comprehensive Annual Financial Report to communicate to the public we are fulfilling the promise we made „ Electric Bond Covenant – The City of Dover promised it will insure it has sufficient net revenues to cover the maximum amount of its debt obligation 1.25 times „ Net Revenue is the difference between revenues we collect from our ratepayers and the payments we make to our employees, vendors, and suppliers „ Current net revenue required to meet the promise is $3.3 million, or 1.25 times $2.6 million maximum annual debt payment „ The promise does not include using savings to cover expenses „ FY08 includes a $20 million bond issue; Rating Agencies will be reviewing FY07 7

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Rating Agencies & Bondholders „ Use of savings/reserves is not addressing the problem when expenses are greater than revenues; Creates alarm; „ Rating Agencies & Bond Holders expect to see a willingness to set rates to cover cost of operations plus a sufficient amount for debt „ Healthy budget balance does not equal positive net revenue „ Expect to see reserves used for intended purpose, i.e. capital replacement, rate stabilization „ Communication - KEY 8

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FY07 Projected Net Revenues 9

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Budget Balance „ Cash on hand „ Sufficient funds to cover daily cash flow needs and fluctuations „ Recommended practice is 45 days of budgeted expenses or 12% „ Not as critical if you have other accounts to borrow from for temporary fluctuations 10

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FY07 Summary Budget with Plant Break Even October 23, 2006 11

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FY 07Financial Reporting Summary 12

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FY07 Presentation Comparison with Plant Break Even Comprehensive Financial Report June 6 versus October 23 In thousands (000’s) June 6 October 23 Change Rate Revenue $81,554 $78,606 $(2,948) Other 2,492 2,328 (164) Utility Tax 1,778 1,441 (337) Interest 384 634 250 Total Revenue $86,208 $83,009 $(3,199) Power Supply $67,329 $60,775 $(6,554) Operating Expenses 13,103 18,636 5,533 Transfer to General Fund 5,700 5,700 --- Total Expenses $86,132 $85,111 $(1,021) Net Revenue $76 $(2,102) $(2,178) Reserve Transfers 5,440 --- (5,440) Additional Increase --- 3,144 3,144 Adjusted Revenue $5,516 $1,042 $(4,474) Interest on Long-Term Debt (885) (859) 26 Depreciation & Amortization (4,505) (4,274) 231 13 Net Income as Reported in CAFR $126 $(4,091) $(4,217)

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Summary of Presentation Changes – FY07 June 6 versus October 23 Change to Rate Revenues Change to Expenses „ Growth assumption changed from „ Reduction in final budget power 3% to 1%; Reduction $2.9 million supply $1,464,000 Change to Other Revenues „ Duke Rebate – reduction in revenue „ Pace Incentive Fee – addition to $964,000 expense $973,000 „ Street Lights – addition to revenue „ Excess capacity (6 mgw) – addition $840,000 to expense $63,000 „ Interest Earnings – added to include I & E Fund $250,000 „ Final expense budgets – reduction „ Utility Tax – reduction to revenue to expenses $256,000 $337,000 „ Utility Tax – reduction to expense „ Other final budget adjustments $337,000 $40,000 „ Net decrease in expenses „ Net $251,000 other revenue reduction $1,021,000 Reserves „ Reserves changed to transfer in and not included in revenue $5,000,000 Rate Stab. & $440,000 Bond Reserve 14

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Plant Cost Recovery „ Budget $6.1 million „ Cost Recovery $1.6 million „ Deficit $4.5 million „ Equates to a 6% rate increase „ Future results will be impacted by regulation 15

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Options Short term „ Additional 8% rate increase – promise kept „ Reduce expenses – promise kept „ Reduce budget balance „ Reduce or eliminate transfer to rate stabilization reserve „ Transfer from reserves $4.5 million needed to cover the plant „ Combination of above Long term „ Insure net revenue sufficient to cover promise on bonds „ Conduct revenue generating potential of the plant including capacity and regulation markets; PACE expected to complete by March 31; 16

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